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Article Title: Aggregate Demand Cycle Reason for High US Unemployment Problems
Author: Huey Harden
Category: Business
Word Count: 571
Keywords: US economy, foreign policy, jobs, unemployment, jobless rate, 
unemployment rate
Author's Email Address: [email protected]
Article Source: http://www.distributeyourarticles.com
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According to Christina Romer, the Council of Economic Advisers chairwoman, the 
primary reason why there is such a high level of unemployment is a extreme 
shortfall in aggregate demand in her keynote speech of the 2010 Princeton 
Colloquium on Public and International Affairs.

Romer says, "Unemployment is high fundamentally because the economy is 
producing dramatically below its capacity. That is, far from being the 'new 
normal,' it is the old cyclical [pattern] ... Indeed, at one point I had 
tentatively titled my talk 'It's Aggregate Demand, Stupid,' but my chief of 
staff suggested that I find something a tad more dignified."

Romer further views that the results of unemployment, like the degradation of 
skills and declines in income, are expected following a recession.

She disagrees with pundits who attribute the high level of unemployment to the 
"decline in traditional manufacturing jobs and falling rates of employment 
among less-educated middle-aged men."

According to Romer, "the overwhelming weight of the evidence is that the 
current very high and very disturbing levels of overall and long-term 
unemployment are not a separate, structural problem, but largely a cyclical 
one. We do not need to appeal to any underlying structural changes to 
understand it, and there is every reason to expect that long-term unemployment 
will come back down when aggregate demand recovers."

Optimistically, Romer stated that the national economy is already "on the road 
to recovery," as evidenced by a recent solid positive GDP growth and a slight 
correction in jobless numbers in Q1 of the 2010 fiscal year.

Romer further states that the onus of boosting aggregate demand rests with the 
US private sector due to budget deficits that plague the US government's 
ability to properly stimulate the economy.

"Fortunately, the private sector is starting to show some life," she said. 
"Last Wednesday's retail sales numbers suggest that consumer spending, while 
not exuberant, is stronger than anticipated." Romer notes that "our focus as 
policymakers should be on how we can help the private sector recover faster."

"One targeted measure that is likely to be very effective is additional fiscal 
relief to the states," Romer said. "By preventing tax increases and spending 
cuts, this relief raises income and employment relative to what it otherwise 
would be."

Romer also supports providing additional aid to teachers, who might be laid off 
as states try to reduce budget deficits through cost cutting, as a prospective 
policy action.

Other ideas for boosting economic recovery included pushing to open foreign 
markets to U.S. exports and providing rebates for families who are remodeling 
their houses to achieve greater energy efficiency.

"I have a deep belief in the potential of the American economy and the promise 
of good economic policy," Romer said at the end of her address. "My plea for 
today is for continued action both to accelerate the return to normal for the 
millions of American families who are still suffering, and to make the normal 
that we return to better than it was before."

Romer was chair of the Council of Economic Advisers in January 2009. She 
lectured economics and public affairs as an assistant professor at the Wilson 
School from 1985 to 1988.

Cited for her research on the nature of and recovery from the Great Depression, 
Romer co-wrote the President Obama's plan for economic recovery with economist 
Jared Bernstein.

She served as the co-director of the Program in Monetary Economics at the 
National Bureau of Economic Research and was the vice president of the American 
Economic Association prior to her nomination.

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