On Feb 23, 2011, at 9:55 AM, Christoph Derndorfer wrote:

Yes, it's *great* that this note is on that wiki page however I'm mainly
concerned about the major public interfaces such as
http://one.laptop.org/map as well as Nicholas and Rodrigo constantly
refer to "2,100,000 children and teachers have XO laptops" when that is
quite clearly not the case.

As Caryl will talk about OLPC at the Scale conference this week I wanted to use the opportunity to share what I feel are more realistic figures;-)

Short of polling every deployment - which is done - on the distributed versus locally warehoused number unless you also want to know the number of xo's in repair status (how literal are you being about "have"?); I'd reduce the number by 100-200k; approximately a month's production and an equivalent number in transit whose time which can take up to 8 weeks for land-locked countries. The upper-bound might capture local inventories too.

so, about that rwanda number you are quoting...?

also curious about the classmate deployment figures you were researching some time ago, what did you find?

r/


Christoph

Am 23.02.2011 15:38, schrieb Ed McNierney:
"There are over 2.1 million XOs in the field as of January, 2011. The information below represents the number of XOs delivered, shipped or ordered for each country or region. Not all XOs are currently in schools."

That seems to be exactly what the wiki page is saying.

        - Ed


On Feb 23, 2011, at 9:33 AM, Christoph Derndorfer wrote:

Am 23.02.2011 14:19, schrieb Robert Fadel:
On Tue, Feb 22, 2011 at 23:06, James Cameron <[email protected]> wrote:
I agree with Walter. About two million. I don't have access to the
internal figures.

See also 1,834,500 in a probably partial list of laptop orders:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Laptop_per_Child#Summary_of_laptop_orders
http://wiki.laptop.org/go/Deployments
There are over 2.1 million XOs in the field as of January, 2011.
we update the wiki and the map every 4-8 weeks based on the actual
order and producation schedules

a mapping of many of those same deployments:
http://one.laptop.org/map
I still don't buy that 2.1 million figure. Ordered maybe, shipped by
Quanta possibly, but definitely not "in the hands of children and teachers".

The data on http://one.laptop.org/map also adds up to about 1,800,000 with no significant omissions that I can find (definitely none that add up to 300,000) so I think this is pretty much the upper bound right now.

Peru had 250,000 XOs in the field (with 40,000 more in a warehouse in Lima) as of late August 2010, I have a hard time believing that since
then an additional 620,000 XO have actually been distributed.

The map and corresponding wiki pages also indicate that in Rwanda
110,000 XOs have been distributed when at least as of three weeks ago
that number was actually closer to 15,000.

In the U.S. G1G1 numbers also seem to be included in the total 95,000 tally.

So overall my personal *guesstimate* at this point is that 1.5 million
is at the very best the *number of children and teachers with an XO*
with a more likely figure being somewhere in the area of 1.2 million.

I know others don't think these details matter, but as I explained to
Robert back in Vienna exactly one year ago I believe getting these
numbers right is important considering how historically OLPC hasn't been too good in matching the numbers it has thrown around ($100 laptop, 1W
laptop, etc.)

Cheers,
Christoph

--
Christoph Derndorfer
co-editor, www.olpcnews.com
e-mail: [email protected]

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--
Christoph Derndorfer
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e-mail: [email protected]


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