Netters:
Apakah tak mungkin bahwa kita sedang mendapatkan rumusan penentuan
siklus gempa, untuk prediksi orde deviasi satu digit tahunan, atau malah
bulanan, harian ?
Merapi baru saja mendendangkan orkes "mocopat Dandang Gulo Turu Lare,
Gambuh, Sinom, ....", ato entah apa, selama 7 bulan sejak Februari 2006,
membuat ribuan orang pontang-panting, sehingga banyak orang berusaha
menyelamatkan. Detik demi detik kegiatannya di pantau sejak 1983, atawa
catatan sejarah gempanya di dapat akurat sejak 170 th terakhir, atau
sebelum-sebelumnya, di analisa.
Di suatu hari di mana akan "meletus", BPPTK melihatnya akan ada
aktifitas tinggi, orang di suruh menghindari, artinya simpangan
kesalahan kurang dari sehari dari aktual "letusan". Ini, artinya gempa
kecil, termasuk tremor, perlu di ketahui, dan di monitor, tahu sejarah
panjangnya, untuk bisa menentukan kapan gempa (besar), tsunami, gunung
meletus. Tak begitu ?
Kapan kita bisa prediksi gempa deviasi setahun, sebulan ?
BMG sudah sempat analisa gempa skala kurang dari 4 SR ?
REDI akronim "Recorded volcano Evolution, Development, and Implication".
Ini ntuk penghormatanku kepada semua yang telah berhasil menyelamatkan
ribuan orang, ya ribuan orang. Yang bisa saya catat, REDI, R:
Ratdomopurbo, E: DEwi S Suyudi, HEru Suparwoko)(post Kaliurang), D:
Driyo (Subandriyo, pembuat resume juga dari Pak Panut post Kaliurang)
semua BPPTK, I: Indiyo Pratomo (P3G), dan beberapa orang lainnya
disebutkan di paperku, juga singkatan anggota Teamku kini REDI:
MaRyanto, Edi, Darmawan, Indrawardana. Redi (bhs. Jawa Kromo Inggil
halus yg berarti gunung).
Terjadwalkan minggu depan, Kamis Wage (eh Wage nya bener gag ya?), 7
Sept 2006, di Yogyakarta pada:
Merapi International Workshop and Volcano International Gathering,
Yogyakarta, 4-10 Sept 2006.
Barangkali saja ada sedikit menambah ilmu, dan pertanyaan di tunggu agar
ku jadi pinter atas sekolah sejak dulu ga pinter-pinter juga ku hingga
kini.
Wass,
Maryanto.
REDI ("Recorded volcano Eruption, Development, and Impilcations") Merapi
and Breaking plate orchestra.
By: Maryanto.
Abstract.
REDI ("Recorded volcano Eruption, Development, and Implication") Merapi
has been made. Its eruptions in the last 170 years is 70 % on the high
tide week (full moon and new moon weeks). The increment hazard statuses
of the big eruption in 2006 are always in the full moon week, so does
the biggest eruption and its decreasing status. That trends was indicted
also by Aceh's aftershock, and others, to suport SALAM. Wave of SALAM
("Seven to the nth power of ten Annum Long of Age and distance And
Minor" ) seems the ruler dominantly universe structure and its
evolution. AAN ("Anticline of Arabian Nubian") is the center of the
Pangea's planetary cyclone. Its moving traverse is SEMPOL ("Seven clock
ways rotation Evolving Mid Pangea Over 7 giga annum Long") with the
center rotation point M(~50 E, 0 N), shows Maryanto's supercontinental
cycles. The moving creates mostly goods with a little bit jeopardizes.
Reducing the jeopardizes effects, the curve is created and named HARJO
BINANGUN ("History And Reduction of Jeopardy effects of Oncoming
orchestras on: Breaking plate tectonic, Intensive temperature, Nautical
sea level, Atmospheric climate, Natural bio-evolutions, Global economy,
Universal chemistry, and Naturally undefined other hazards from the four
physical energies"). Breaking plate tectonic orchestra includes
earthquake, tsunami, and volcanoes eruptions. PAKEM ("Physical
Arrangement Knowledge of Ecosystem of Masses") cosmos, is so detail
cosmos for size every 10 multiplication from the pre-elementary particle
to Universe, or size cosmos ranges from PakemE-20m to PakemE+28m. SLEMAN
("Stratigraphy Lexicon Elevates Mines Available Numenclature") shows the
universal stratigraphy.
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