Berikut saya kopikan berita dari Nature yang online
tgl. 31 Januari 2007 ttg metoda alternatif untuk
mengatasi semburan lumpur sidoarjo. Semoga saja
berhasil, minimal untuk mengurangi kuantitas semburan
selama ini.

Maaf kalau ada yang sudah pernah baca.

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http://www.nature.com/news/2007/070129/full/445470a.html

Volcano gets choke chains to slow mud

Geophysicists offer concrete proposal to stem East
Java eruption.

Indonesian geophysicists hope to stem the flow of a
destructive mud volcano on East Java by dropping
chains of concrete balls into its mouth.

The mud eruption began on 29 May last year in the
middle of a rice paddy in the village of Porong, 30
kilometres south of Surabaya, the provincial capital.
Since then, the volcano has spewed out up to 126,000
cubic metres of mud a day, flooding an area of more
than 4 square kilometres.

Some 10,000 people have been left homeless and 20
factories have closed. Another 200,000 homes could be
at risk if the mudflow combines with the rainy season
— which has just begun — and weakening dams to flood
more land. Attempts to alleviate the problem by
drilling relief wells or channelling the mud into a
nearby river have so far failed.

Last week, the government team tackling the disaster
approved a plan that will use 1,000 steel chains to
try to slow the flow of mud. Each chain is 1.5 metres
long and links together four concrete balls — two that
are 40 centimetres across and two that are 20
centimetres across. Each ball and chain set will weigh
about 300 kilograms. The balls themselves will be
modified to maximize their friction with the mud.

The team will start off slowly, dropping five chains
into the volcano's mouth on the first day — possibly
as early as this week — and ten on the second, before
hitting a high of up to 50 per day until all of them
are used.

The scheme was dreamt up by three geophysicists at the
Bandung Institute of Technology: Bagus Nurhandoko,
Satria Bijaksana and Umar Fauzi. According to Basuki
Hadimuljono, head of the national team managing the
disaster, the project will have a budget of 4 billion
rupiah (US$440,000) paid for by PT Lapindo Brantas,
the oil drilling company that some locals blame for
the disaster.

Bijaksana says that the mudflow calls for an
unprecedented solution. "At first we thought it was a
common problem in oil exploration, but after a few
months we realized this was not a standard situation,"
he notes.

On 22 January, in a smoky room at the disaster
management team's Surabaya headquarters, the
geophysicists met with scientists and engineers from
the government and the oil company to work out the
details of the plan. The next day, Bijaksana and Fauzi
were crawling up the side of the volcano to map out
plans for the foundations of a bridge that will span
the crater and, with the help of a pulley system, will
be used for dropping in the chains.

The chains will sink into the conduit that has been
feeding the hot mud to the surface, Fauzi explains.
"We are aiming to get them to go 100 metres down, but
the deeper the better," he says. The goal is to make
the channel smaller — not plugging it altogether but,
according to a model built by the team, narrowing it
enough to slow the mud's rise and so decrease its flow
rate by up to three-quarters. Forced to go around the
chains and balls, the mud will give up some of its
energy to friction, vibration and rotation, says
Nurhandoko. "It will make the mud tired. We're killing
the mud softly."
 
But other physicists say they have never heard of such
an approach, and question its likely effectiveness.
Richard Swarbrick, managing director of consultancy
firm GeoPressure Technology in Durham, UK, says that
cutting the size of the channel could very well reduce
the mud flow. And forcing the mud to take a 'tortuous'
path around the balls would also slow it down, he
says.

But he points out that reducing the size of the
channel is likely to increase the pressure, just like
squeezing the end of a hose. "I would predict that the
mud would probably exit at the other holes, or farther
along," says Swarbrick. This would just transfer the
problem to somewhere else. "The mud will find another
way out," he says.

Confident in the face of such criticism, Bijaksana and
his colleagues admit that their plan might sound
improbable at first. "It took a few months to settle
down and make peace with ourselves," he says. But the
trio used a simple analogy to sell the project to the
government. They cut two holes in the bottom of a
plastic bottle and filled it with water. Covering one
hole, they showed that the flow rate from the other is
unaffected — but the overall rate at which the water
leaves the bottle decreases. Likewise, with the
volcano, they believe that the volume coming out is
directly proportional to the size of the neck of the
conduit bringing the mud to the surface.

Bijaksana says there are still uncertainties — the
exact flow rate of the mud, for example, and the shape
of the crater — that could affect the project's
success. He hopes that instruments now being laid over
the crater will provide some more information, and
adds that he isn't worried about the uncertainty.
"People all around here are living in uncertainty," he
points out.
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