[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
> This project paid for a large number of full-time IBM programmers
> under their Federal Systems Division who were working at this
> facility near Houston, among whom were the two original developers
> of HASP, Tom Simpson and Bob Crabtree.  HASP evolved into JES2,
> recently discussed in another thread.
>
> I don't think it is conspiratorial if you try accurately to predict
> the national economy 6 to 12 months into the future.  I think it is
> better referred to as realism.  If your predictions happen to be
> based on real facts that are unknown to or disbelieved by the
> masses, then so be it.

my wife did a stint in jes group reporting to crabtree ... working on
architecture ... took a look at how to merge jes3 mutli-system operation
with jes2 multi-access spool (there was even a period where executive
direction that there would be no new jes2 development ... it would all
go into jes3). this was before she got con'ed into going to be pok to be
in charge of loosely-coupled architecture.

some past collected hasp-related postings
http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/subtopic.html#hasp

there was a thread in a totally different n.g. in the mid-90s that was
looking at doing economic predictions for 2020 (25 years out). a shorter
term item looked at as part of this was that y2k remediation work was
looming with requirements for significant additional resources. however,
it happened to correspond to the internet bubble ... which was
siphoning off all available resources into high flying internet jobs.
not a lot of people were paying attention that somewhat as a result, a
lot of legacy bread & butter work was going offshore (at least not until
much later after it was already a fait accompli).

i had the misfortune to predict that the company would go into the red
... about the time the corporate committee was predicting world-wide
revenues were going to double from $60b to $120b ... and were spending
enormous amounts on adding additional manufacturing capacity. i don't
think they really understood the shift going on in computing processing
to open & commodity priced hardware.

the scenario was somewhat a continuation of the economic analysis that
had been behind some of the justification for future system ... some
collected fs postings
http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/subtopic.html#futuresys

... note, i hadn't faired much better with FS ... at the time, i would
periodically draw analogies between the FS project and a cult film that
had been playing continuously for several years down in central sq
(which didn't exactly make friends with enormous number of people
backing FS).

one reference mentioning FS
http://www.ecole.org/Crisis_and_change_1995_1.htm

from above:

IBM tried to react by launching a major project called the 'Future
System' (FS) in the early 1970's. The idea was to get so far ahead
that the competition would never be able to keep up, and to have such
a high level of integration that it would be impossible for
competitors to follow a compatible niche strategy. However, the
project failed because the objectives were too ambitious for the
available technology.  Many of the ideas that were developed were
nevertheless adapted for later generations. Once IBM had acknowledged
this failure, it launched its 'box strategy', which called for
competitiveness with all the different types of compatible
sub-systems. But this proved to be difficult because of IBM's cost
structure and its R&D spending, and the strategy only resulted in a
partial narrowing of the price gap between IBM and its rivals.

... snip ...

part of the subject was the advent of clone controllers. when i was an
undergraudate ... i got involved in project to reverse engineer the ibm
channel interface and build our own controller ... someplace there was a
write-up blaiming us for inception of clone controller business
http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/subtopic.html#360pcm

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