> Where's an industry analyst when you need one ???.

Repairing cars to pay the rent.  Will testiculate for food.

Ludicrous numbers.

a) What is "new" - give me a cut-off date or a style of aplication.

IBM has realised for years now that mainframe price/performance is a bad joke 
and only people
who cannot afford to reimplement their systems stay on the platform.  There 
have been almost
no new net wins for years, while VSE licences have declined 60% or so in 10 
years.

But how to compete?  Answer:  Offer discounts of up to 90% for "new" 
applications.  Vide
z/OS.e, eNALC, for example. And let the stable customers carry on paying 
sky-high charges.

Which leads to a simple fact in most branch office situations - if a business 
partner or
salesman can get a customer's application through as "new" he can get software 
pricing that
might work.  If he can't, he can forget the deal.  The commission percentages 
are better, too.

A HUGE amount of pseudo-new application load has gone through this system, and 
some moron with
a spreadsheet has added up the numbers and said: "Gee,  that's 60%."  Well, of 
course it is
you fool - what did you expect?

So 40% - corollary - is "old".  I'd like to know what the relationship is 
between this "old"
MIPS and the same figure five years ago.  My guess would be down 80%.

-- 
  Phil Payne
  http://www.isham-research.co.uk
  +44 7833 654 800

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