>So assuming you could use the whole drive, the number of these current
>generation drives that you would need to back a single address space is
>
> (2**64)/(2**38) = 2**(64-38) = 2**26 = 67,108,864

Back in my "old life" I once did a presentation at an IBM customer 
meeting trying to illustrate how much 2**64 is. Besides a similar
DASD device calculation, I also did a simpified swap time calculation.
At 100MB/s sustained transfer speed, it takes 5850 years to transfer
all bytes of a single 64bit AS. Make that 10GB/s and use 100 devices
in parallel it still takes 210+ days.

According to Word, the PoP has about 4'000'000 characters and is 
roughly 5cm thick. So 4 of them fit into one 16MB AS and this 
corresponds to a pile of paper of 20cm height. 

Going to 31bit multiplies these figures by 128: 512 PoPs and 
25.6 meters. Going to 64bit from 31bit multiplies them by another 
8 billions: 4400 billion PoPs and you can travel all the way from 
the Earth to the sun and half this distance further on on that 
"bridge of PoPs"..... have good journey :-)


History has shown all these "this will sufficce forever" statements 
have provben that "forever" is a relatively short period of time. So,
I concluded my presentation stating that 64bit will do it for a 
couple of years.


Peter Hunkeler
CREDIT SUISSE

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