Tim,

All valid points, but as I see it, rather moot to the discussion.

You talk about the new z9 boxes being able to drop down to 26 MIPS.  The
thing is still over 6 feet tall and weighs over half a ton!  If I were a
software vendor, it would be rather difficult to take that on a plane to
a customer site to demo some software.  And that doesn't include the
required external disk/tape/hardware console.  Also kind of hard for a
small vendor to maintain a "real" mainframe if they are doing
development out of their home!

You mention the hardware costs of the used boxes as being cheap.  I
agree, they are.  However In our case, the software incentives for going
to the z9-BC made the new box cheaper over 3 years than a $10K Z800.  

I think item 5 is the one that most troubles IBM's customer base.  "New
workloads" can get the cheap z/OS.e.  My management is concerned about
the high cost of the current workloads.  As long as they are paying this
and seeing the seemingly cheaper cost structure of switching to another
platform, they are surely not going to look at putting new workloads on
"z".  


We're running a "real mainframe".  We just swapped out a 7060 for a
z9-BC, again for the software savings and being able to remain on a
supported level of z/OS.  However, at least one of our software vendors
is a small (2 man) shop who does their development on a FLEX-ES machine.
If they lose their capability to do development on this small (cost and
size) platform will they go out of business and leave us in the lurch?  


I think IBM either needs to come clean with their customer base and tell
us if they're going to abandon the z/OS market or make some real effort
to let the little guy remain (or return to being) competitive.  If that
means IBM doesn't want to mess with the little guys, for heaven's sake,
get out of the way and let the partners like FLEX do it.  In the long
run, IBM is killing their "z" market by eliminating their "coopetition".



Just my $.02.

Rex


I have no particular insider knowledge on this, but a few more points on
small mainframes:

1.  IBM dropped the minimum purchase level for mainframe software
products down to 3 MSUs because smaller customers needed this (and small
projects within larger companies).  This now means the mainframe is the
cheapest place to put, say, WebSphere Message Broker.

2.  IBM dropped the price almost in half on the 26 MIPS System z9 BC A01
from the previous entry model, the z890 Model 110.  I didn't do a
totally scientific study, but I believe today's mainframe is the same
dollar price as any of the previously lowest price entry models,
including the "baby mainframes" of yesteryear that people remember
fondly.  In inflation-adjusted terms it's much lower of course.  The z9
is a much better machine than any predecessor and every bit a real
mainframe, even at
26 MIPS, for true mainframe qualities of service.

3.  The U.S. price of a brand new BC A01 is now about the same as one
full time (fully burdened) employee's annual compensation, for
perspective.

4.  The 26 MIPS model is 4 MSUs.  You can set subcapacity limits below
that if your needs are even more modest, and special software pricing is
available.

5.  Genuine z/OS (in the form of z/OS.e) is available for a small
fraction of the price for any new workloads, including DB2.

6.  There's more competition than ever in the tools and utilities
business, driving down costs.  There are even 5 operating systems
available to choose, including one IBM doesn't make (Linux) that's just
a little popular. :-)

7.  IBM announced there will be changes to z/VSE pricing terms with
Version
4 related to subcapacity.  (This is good.)

8.  The z800 (minimum 40 MIPS, subcapacity eligible) is a real 64-bit
mainframe and is available on the secondary market for less than the
price of popular automobiles.  A "small" z900 (also subcapacity
eligible) is probably less than that.  (Well, if a one person personal
data center now has a z900....)

All that said, small mainframe customers (and developers) should keep
letting IBM know what they need.  IBM generally does respond if it can,
as in the examples above.

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