This assumes that all of IBM's revenue comes form hardware.  I expect
quite a bit of it comes from software license charges which are not
linearly related to the hardware prices.

-----Original Message-----
From: Dave Day 
Sent: Tuesday, June 30, 2009 2:13 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: OS/390

Roger,
    If IBM's current mainframe revenue stream was to dwindle to one
twentieth of its current, how long do you think we would continue to see
the improvements we have seen in both harware and software in recent
years?  Just to maintain current revenue, they would have to increase
market share twenty fold.  Estimates are that there are somewhere
between 6 and 10 thousand z/OS shops, worldwide.  Taking the smaller
number, do you actually think z/SO could grow to 120,000 paying
installations? 

    I'm not a fan of IBM's current pricing strategy, as I do feel it is
way to complicated, and overpriced.  But 1/20th of the current revenue?
I think we would all be taking in each other's wash to find work.  They
could not stay in the business.  My .02, for what its worth.  

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