I read an article about Infiniband which had a comment that stated Ethernet
had been putting in advances from other technologies for years..   I think
that the other platforms have done much the same to z.  Google, Amazon
etc.. have just become their own versions of IBM.. custom hardware and
software and in a massive way.  Result.. IBM SMBs are going to convert
either by direct action or by attrition.. the exceptions will be those that
have developed code that is not available as a cloud service or
off-the-shelf  software.  Hadoop and similar big data services will
eventually fix transactional response-times putting relational DBMSs in an
even more precarious position.  IBM talks cloud...  But not for mainframe
work... No.. communicating with cloud services doesn't count.

This is all still going to take a while.. but the time is accelerating.

The large z customers are still going to need z features .. custom hardware
and software.. and IBM will still end up growing the MIPs each year.

I would put the obligatory shields up.. but IBM is doing nothing
significant to deal with the onslaught.

Maybe if I see Softlayer offering z cloud services at attractive pay as you
go .. pay as you use... Then I will get back on the z cheering team. And in
the convert ISVs that don't do pay as you use software to IBM business.

Not that I don't love working on z.. just that I don't see a cheery future.

Rob Schramm
On May 22, 2014 10:13 AM, "Chase, John" <[email protected]> wrote:

> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List On Behalf Of Robert Heffner
>
> >
> > I heard similar piffle at my former employer.  "We expect to be off the
> mainframe in 18-24 months."
> > It ended up taking 12 years.
>
> Heh....  We're currently in year 18 (+/-) of a "five year plan" to "get
> off the mainframe".  I'll be retiring in the next year or so, and I fully
> expect to "beat the (probably new) mainframe out the door".  :-)
>
>    -jc-
>
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