mike.a.sch...@gmail.com (Mike Schwab) writes: > US$3,000,000,000 / 20,000 z/CPU = $150,000
re: http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/2014j.html#85 Demonstrating Moore's law http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/2014j.html#86 Demonstrating Moore's law 1qtr2014 mainframe revenue was equivalent of 18 max. configured ec12, 56 on annualized basis ... say 20 6-core chips/system ... or equivalent 1120 chips/annum. from: http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/2014j.html#7 Demonstrating Moore's lab http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/2014j.html#8 Demonstrating Moore's lab ec12 32nm technology 597.24 mm2 ... get about 118chips/300mm wafer or about 10wafers for year of z12 processors sales (at 56 systems/yr) same chip redone in 22nm technology cuts the chip to approx. 284 mm2 or about 248 chips/300mm wafer or less than five 300mm wafers. same chip redone in 14nm technology (with 450mm wafers) cuts the chip to approx. 115mm2 and 1120chips/annum is less than one wafer/annum (1383 chips/450mm wafer) and these fabs are doing 30,000-80,000 wafers a month (note in the following list, the ibm stories about trying to sell its chip/fab business, mentioned globalfoundries) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_semiconductor_fabrication_plants intel's new 14nm fab @$5B assuming 4yr recovery of upfront costs (use declining as new technology fabs come online and obsolete it) and hypothetical 100,000 wafers/month ... would be 4.8m wafers or $1m/wafer ... at 1383 chips/wafer that is $753.19/chip (besides what ever the operating costs and profit are). then Haswell-E chip is 355mm2 in 22nm technology (has 8 cores, compared to 284mm2 for z12 6core chip remapped from 32nm to 22nm) ... or about 199chips/300mm wafer. this would reduce to approx. 144 in 14nm tech ... and approx. 1104chips/450mm wafer. high-end haswell-e chip price is $1k/chip ... less expensive haswell-e chips are in the $300-$500 range (in part because they are fewer cores, smaller onchip cache, smaller size and presumably more chips/wafer). large megadatacenters doing their own high-end blade assembly are only a little bit more than bulk component costs. retail is little more expensive http://www.engadget.com/2014/08/30/review-roundup-intels-8-core-haswell-e/ -- virtualization experience starting Jan1968, online at home since Mar1970 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- For IBM-MAIN subscribe / signoff / archive access instructions, send email to lists...@listserv.ua.edu with the message: INFO IBM-MAIN
