This may seem a simple question but I don't seem to have a good grasp on the answer.

I have a 5-variable MVN imputation application, specifically 5 sequential years of body mass index (BMI) measurements -- 2 of them are before an intervention, 1 is during the intervention, and 2 are after the intervention:
   Y1 - pre-baseline
   Y2 - pre-intervention baseline
   Y3 - intervention
   Y4 - post-intervention immediate follow-up
   Y5 - later follow-up

The main interest is in Y2 and Y4.

Only a small fraction of the cases (~10%) have fully observed data and the missingness is non-monotone. We are planning MCMC MI.

There is an argument to exclude from the imputation and main analyses all cases that are missing both Y2 and Y4. This is based on hesitation to impute both the main pre- and post- measurements.

There are additional variations on this. For example, exclude any case that is missing all (Y2,Y3,Y4) and any case that is missing (Y3,Y4,Y5). This reflects unwillingness to impute Y2 if both the year before and year after are missing (and the same for Y4).

The counter-argument is that such selective strategies might lead to biased imputations. And the correlations are high -- ~0.90 for consecutive measurements and even ~0.75 for the two most distant measurements (Y1/Y5). So, even without contiguous years, one might get reasonable imputations.

Can someone more knowledgeable weigh in on this please? And could you point me to some relevant references?

Many thanks.
CD


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Constantine Daskalakis, ScD
Associate Professor,
Thomas Jefferson University, Division of Biostatistics
   1015 Chestnut St., Suite M100, Philadelphia, PA 19107
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   Email: [email protected]
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