Rubin (1987, Table 4.2) shows that even with .9 missing information, confidence intervals using as few as 5 imputations will have close to their nominal level of coverage. But increasing M beyond 5 has benefits nonetheless. It increases df, narrowing confidence intervals while maintaining their coverage levels.

A while back, I simulated 10,000 observations where X1 and X2 were complete and independent, and half the Y values were missing as a function of X1. Because of the high missingness, the regression parameters had only 11-16 df, even when I used M=20 imputations.

This struck me as odd, since when only Y is missing, and missing at random, maximum likelihood regression estimates are the same as those obtained from listwise deletion. The listwise estimates would have ~5000 df, and it seems strange that the MI df would be so much lower.

Best wishes,
Paul von Hippel

At 11:31 AM 2/19/2004, Paul Allison wrote:
Some further thoughts:

1. The arguments I've seen for using around five imputations are based
on efficiency calculations for the parameter estimates.  But what about
standard errors and p-values?  I've found them to be rather unstable for
moderate to large fractions of missing information.

2. Joe Schafer told me several months ago that he had a dissertation
student whose work showed that substantially larger numbers of
imputations were often required for good inference.  But I don't know
any of the details.

3. For these reasons, I've adopted the following rule of thumb: Do a
sufficient number of imputations to get the estimated DF over 100 for
all parameters of interest.  I'd love to know what others think of this.


---------------------------------------------------------------- Paul D. Allison, Professor & Chair Department of Sociology University of Pennsylvania 3718 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104-6299 voice: 215-898-6717 or 215-898-6712 fax: 215-573-2081 [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~allison





I'm baffled too on both counts.  Modest numbers of imputations work fine
unless the fractions of missing information are very high (> 50%), and
then I wouldn't think of those situations as missing data problems
except in a formal sense.  And the number of them is a random
variable???  I
guess we'll have to read what they wrote...



On Thu, 19 Feb 2004, Howells, William wrote:

> I came across a note from Hershberger and Fisher on the number of
> imputations (citation below), where they conclude that a much larger
> number of imputations is required (over 500 in some cases) than the
> usual rule of thumb that a relatively small number of imputations is
> needed (say 5 to 20 per Rubin 1987, Schafer 1997).  They argue that
> the traditional rules of thumb are based on simulations rather than
> sampling theory.  Their calculations assume that the number of
> imputations is a random variable from a uniform distribution and use a

> formula from Levy and Lemeshow (1999) n >= (z**2)(V**2)/e**2, where n
> is the number of imputations, z is a standard normal variable, V**2 is

> the squared coefficient of variation (~1.33) and e is the "amount of
> error, or the degree to which the predicted number of imputations
> differs from the optimal or "true" number of imputations".  For
> example, with z=1.96 and e=.10, n=511 imputations are required.
>
>
>
> I'm having difficulty conceiving of the number of imputations as a
> random variable.  What does "true" number of imputations mean?  Is
> this argument legitimate?  Should I be using 500 imputations instead
of 5?
>
>
>
> Bill Howells, MS
>
> Behavioral Medicine Center
>
> Washington University School of Medicine
>
> St Louis, MO
>
>
>
> Hershberger SL, Fisher DG (2003), Note on determining the number of
> imputations for missing data, Structural Equation Modeling, 10(4):
> 648-650.
>
>
>
> http://www.leaonline.com/loi/sem
>
>
>
>

--
Donald B. Rubin
John L. Loeb Professor of Statistics
Chairman Department of Statistics
Harvard University
Cambridge MA 02138
Tel: 617-495-5498  Fax: 617-496-8057

Paul von Hippel Department of Sociology / Initiative in Population Research Ohio State University 300 Bricker Hall 190 N. Oval Mall Columbus OH 43210 614 688-3768




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