Buccaneer's offer looks busted, not flush

Man U is not about to score an own goal

Thursday October 28, 2004
The Guardian

Malcolm Glazer's camp was furiously denying yesterday that the American's
plans for Manchester United involved raising �500m, including �150m in junk
bonds. Yet as every day passes the Buccaneer looks like a loser in his
attempt to buy the Premiership's richest club.
Whether it is �500m or �400m or �300m, not even Glazer's biggest fans would
deny his plans involve heavy leverage. In the absence of any formal details,
the best we have is the view of United's directors. They threw it out as bad
for the company, full stop.
There is an argument here about whether the directors were acting in
shareholders' interests, but Glazer should not waste time bleating over
this. His problem is practical: without the say-so of the board he cannot
conduct due diligence; without due diligence, JP Morgan and its syndicate
will not advance �300m, let alone �500m. In other words, going hostile is
not a realistic option.
Glazer's plan now seems to be to try to persuade Cubic, with its 29% stake,
to put pressure on the board to reverse the decision. The hope seems to be
that JP McManus and John Magnier, despite turning away Glazer at the outset,
would like to be shot of their investment and are really sellers at
310p-ish.
Who knows, maybe they are, but so what? It would not alter the board's
analysis of Glazer's plans as being bad for United.
If Glazer, with or without the Irish, wants to press the matter, he can call
an extraordinary meeting and put it to a vote. If he won, the board would
presumably have to resign. That radical step of calling an extraordinary
meeting still seems to be under consideration, but momentum is rapidly
running away from Glazer.
JP Morgan went into this fight with its eyes open, but is it really
prepared, if necessary, to overthrow an independent, popular board? That is
where Glazer is at.



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