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http://news.yahoo.com/s/space/20070928/sc_space/bigelowspacemodulesskyhighplansfacesignificantconcerns;_ylt=ApHcbfXxc7L_Ks_Fngb4X20E1vAI

Bigelow Space Modules: Sky High Plans Face 'Significant Concerns'

Leonard David
Special Correspondent, SPACE.com
SPACE.com Fri Sep 28, 5:00 PM ET

GOLDEN, Colorado Two privately-built prototype modules are circuiting the 
Earth prelude technology to seed space with far larger orbital housing that 
support human occupants.
Lofting all that living room into Earth orbit is on the business agenda of 
Bigelow Aerospace of North Las Vegas, Nevada but the company faces 
significant challenges in attaining their sky-high goals.
The privately-backed Bigelow Aerospace Genesis 1 and Genesis 2 expandable 
sub-scale space modules were shot into orbit on July 12, 2006 and June 28, 
2007, respectively via Dnepr boosters from the ISC Kosmotras Yasny 
Cosmodrome, located in the Orenburg region of Russia.
Both remain in excellent shape, providing valuable data on the use of 
expandable space structures for crews, not only in low Earth orbit, but on 
the moon and Mars, said Michael Gold, Corporate Counsel for Bigelow 
Aerospace in Chevy Chase, Maryland.
"We're ahead of schedule," Gold told SPACE.com, thanks to the success of the 
Genesis craft that are proving out the fundamentals of the Bigelow Aerospace 
module design.

Expedited schedule

In an August 13 message from Robert Bigelow, president of the 
entrepreneurial space firm, he underscored the fact that global launch costs 
were escalating.
"These price hikes have been most acute in Russia due to a number of factors 
including inflation, previously artificially low launch costs and the 
falling value of the U.S. dollar. What this now means for Bigelow Aerospace 
is that to conduct another subscale demonstrator mission would cost two to 
three times what it has in the past," Bigelow explained.
That being the case, Bigelow announced an expedited schedule one that skips 
an in-orbit flight of a module dubbed Galaxy...and fast forwarding directly 
to the much larger Sundancer an expandable habitat capable of being boarded 
by humans.
"We still intend to construct and test the Galaxy spacecraft and/or various 
parts of it in order to gain familiarity and experience with critical 
subsystems. However, by eliminating the launch of Galaxy, we believe that 
Bigelow Aerospace can move more expeditiously to our next step by focusing 
exclusively on the challenging and exciting task presented by the Sundancer 
program," Bigelow reported.

Business case

But while Sundancer is already taking shape with 2010 eyed as the time 
period for launch it also brings about some bad news, Gold said. "Our 
schedule is so aggressive and our progress has been so good, it is creating 
some significant concerns in terms of transportation," he added.
Gold urged launch companies to recognize the fact that the International 
Space Station is not the only destination target out there. "It is very 
disconcerting where the launch industry is today," he noted.
While there are rockets, both domestic and foreign, to loft the large and 
heavier Sundancer module, affordable, reliable, and safe transportation of 
crews to the private outpost is missing right now, Gold said.
Why not utilize the Russian Soyuz spacecraft to send crews to Sundancer? 
>From a simple financial perspective, Gold responded, "we don't know if it 
can support the business case" of Bigelow Aerospace. "It's probably not a 
financially viable choice for us."

Expanding the technology

Sundancer is meant to form the foundation of a future Bigelow Aerospace 
space complex, one that ties separate modules together to form an even 
larger on-orbit facility. Moreover, the company has its sights set on beyond 
Earth applications of expandable structures.
"I think it's widely acknowledged that expandable habitats are where we are 
heading, whether it's the moon, Mars or beyond," Gold emphasized. "Low Earth 
orbit is the first stage of that...to test the systems prior to deploying 
anything on the moon or Mars. What we learn in Earth orbit will be 
absolutely vital to expanding the technology to future worlds."
Meanwhile, the two Genesis-class modules continue to rack up space mileage 
as they circle the Earth. The intent is that the dual spacecraft will 
provide priceless data for years to come.
The "Fly Your Stuff" initiative in which participants paid to fly items 
inside the Genesis spacecraft is completed, Gold said. Engaging the public 
in future Bigelow Aerospace ventures will continue, he said, in one form or 
another.
Another idea being prototyped on Genesis 2 is the use of a projector on the 
tip of the craft's solar arrays. That equipment casts an uploadable image on 
the side of the orbiting module. The resolution and clarity of those images 
has proven the concept workable and also bolsters the prospect of being a 
revenue-generating idea, Gold said.

Politics and financing

Operating two spacecraft through a telemetry network -- with mission control 
sited in Las Vegas has proven invaluable, Gold said, particularly in terms 
of sharpening the skills of ground control teams for future missions.
Expanding the company's communications network to handle humans on orbit is 
the next step, Gold continued, with plans for adding more ground stations on 
an annual basis.
Gold said that the great irony of space is that the technology has never 
been the limiting factor. "It's a matter of politics. It's a matter of 
financing. And those two challenges are much, much worse than any 
engineering issue that will arise."
"The success of Genesis 1 and Genesis 2 was not only technological...it was 
proving that we could do it at the cost that we did," Gold stated. "I would 
be willing to gamble that the two missions will go down in history as the 
most cost-effective space operations in history. That's the paradigm 
shift...that's what really needs to occur." 

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