(full report @ 
http://www.enisa.europa.eu/act/res/other-areas/inter-x/report/interx-report/at_download/fullReport)

Resilience of the Internet Interconnection Ecosystem

April 12th, 2011 at 08:24 UTC by Richard Clayton

http://www.lightbluetouchpaper.org/2011/04/12/resilience-of-the-internet-interconnection-ecosystem/

The Internet is, by very definition, an interconnected network of networks. The 
resilience of the way in which the interconnection system works is fundamental 
to the resilience of the Internet. Thus far the Internet has coped well with 
disasters such as 9/11 and Hurricane Katrina – which have had very significant 
local impact, but the global Internet has scarcely been affected. Assorted 
technical problems in the interconnection system have caused a few hours of 
disruption but no long term effects.

But have we just been lucky ? A major new report, just published by ENISA (the 
European Network and Information Security Agency) tries to answer this question.

The report was written by Chris Hall, with the assistance of Ross Anderson and 
Richard Clayton at Cambridge and Panagiotis Trimintzios and Evangelos Ouzounis 
at ENISA. The full report runs to 238 pages, but for the time-challenged 
there’s a shorter 31 page executive summary and there will be a more ‘academic’ 
version of the latter at this year’s Workshop on the Economics of Information 
Security (WEIS 2011).

Internet interconnectivity is a complex ecosystem with many interdependent 
layers. Its operation is governed by the collective self-interest of the 
Internet’s networks, but there is no central Network Operation Centre (NOC), 
staffed with technicians to leap into action when trouble occurs. The open and 
decentralised organisation that is the very essence of the ecosystem is 
essential to the success and resilience of the Internet. Yet there are a number 
of concerns.

First, the Internet is vulnerable to various kinds of common mode technical 
failures where systems are disrupted in many places simultaneously; service 
could be substantially disrupted by failures of other utilities, particularly 
the electricity supply; a flu pandemic could cause the people on whose work it 
depends to stay at home, just as demand for home working by others was peaking; 
and finally, because of its open nature, the Internet is at risk of 
intentionally disruptive attacks.

Second, there are concerns about sustainability of the current business models. 
Internet service is cheap, and becoming rapidly cheaper, because the costs of 
service provision are mostly fixed costs; the marginal costs are low, so 
competition forces prices ever downwards. Some of the largest operators – the 
‘Tier 1′ transit providers – are losing substantial amounts of money, and it is 
not clear how future capital investment will be financed. There is a risk that 
consolidation might reduce the current twenty-odd providers to a handful, at 
which point regulation may be needed to prevent monopoly pricing.

Third, dependability and economics interact in potentially pernicious ways. 
Most of the things that service providers can do to make the Internet more 
resilient, from having excess capacity to route filtering, benefit other 
providers much more than the firm that pays for them, leading to a potential 
‘tragedy of the commons’. Similarly, security mechanisms that would help reduce 
the likelihood and the impact of malice, error and mischance are not 
implemented because no-one has found a way to roll them out that gives 
sufficiently incremental and sufficiently local benefit.

Fourth, there is remarkably little reliable information about the size and 
shape of the Internet infrastructure or its daily operation. This hinders any 
attempt to assess its resilience in general and the analysis of the true impact 
of incidents in particular. The opacity also hinders research and development 
of improved protocols, systems and practices by making it hard to know what the 
issues really are and harder yet to test proposed solutions.

So there may be significant troubles ahead which could present a real threat to 
economic and social welfare and lead to pressure for regulators to act. Yet 
despite the origin of the Internet in DARPA-funded research, the more recent 
history of government interaction with the Internet has been unhappy. Various 
governments have made ham-fisted attempts to impose censorship or surveillance, 
while others have defended local telecommunications monopolies or have propped 
up other industries that were disrupted by the Internet. As a result, Internet 
Service Providers (ISPs), whose good will is essential for effective 
regulation, have little confidence in the likely effectiveness of state action, 
and many would expect it to make things worse.

Any policy makers should therefore proceed with caution. At this stage, there 
are four types of activity that can be useful at the European (and indeed the 
global) level.

The first is to understand failures better, so that all may learn the lessons. 
This means consistent, thorough, investigation of major outages and the 
publication of the findings. It also means understanding the nature of success 
better, by supporting long term measurement of network performance, and by 
sustaining research in network performance.

The second is to fund key research in topics such as inter-domain routing – 
with an emphasis not just on the design of security mechanisms, but also on 
traffic engineering, traffic redirection and prioritisation, especially during 
a crisis, and developing an understanding of how solutions can be deployed in 
the real world.

The third is to promote good practice. Diverse service provision can be 
encouraged by explicit terms in public sector contracts, and by auditing 
practices that draw attention to reliance on systems that lack diversity. The 
public section might also promote the independent testing of equipment and 
protocols.

The fourth is public engagement. Greater transparency may help Internet users 
to be more discerning customers, creating incentives for improvement, and the 
public should be engaged in discussions on potentially controversial issues 
such as traffic prioritisation in an emergency. And finally, Private Public 
Partnerships (PPPs) of relevant stakeholders, operators, vendors, public actors 
etc. are important for self-regulation to be effective. Additionally, should 
more formal regulation become necessary in the future, more informed policy 
makers who are already engaged with industry will be able to make better 
decisions.

So if you’ve ever wondered how the Internet is glued together, and how it might 
come apart – or if you’re interested in learning about yet another area where 
computer security and economics interact – then this report will be fascinating 
reading.
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