Minority Report is real: FBI wants to use social networks to prevent future 
crime

 January 26, 2012 By Andrew Couts

http://www.digitaltrends.com/social-media/minority-report-is-real-fbi-wants-to-use-social-networks-to-prevent-future-crime/

The FBI is looking into the creation of a new application that would allow them 
to not only monitor on-going threats, but also predict potential terrorist 
attacks and other crimes before they even happen. Here's everything you need to 
know, and why you should be concerned.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation is looking into the creation of an 
application that would allow it to better mine social media content, in an 
attempt to more accurately identify, target and fight “emerging threats” in 
real-time. The application could also be used to predict potential threats 
before they even happen.

According to a Request for Information (RFI) posted to the Federal Business 
Opportunities website, the FBI says it hopes to “determine the capability of 
industry to provide an Open Source and social media alert, mapping, and 
analysis application solution.” This tool would allow the FBI to “quickly vet, 
identify, and geo-locate breaking events, incidents and emerging threats” using 
“publicly available” information posted to social networks, like Facebook and 
Twitter, as well as local and national news publications.

Big Brother 2.0

Of course, monitoring social media is nothing new for the law enforcement 
community. At present, however, it’s simply too ineffectual and inefficient for 
the FBI’s needs.

“Social media is a valued source of information to the [FBI's Strategic 
Information and Operations Center (SIOC)] intelligence analyst in routinely 
monitoring events,” says the RFI. “Analysts have standing intelligence issues 
that they monitor as a matter of daily course around the globe. It is also 
seminal in their effort to provide initial information about single events of 
significance to law enforcement. Social media has become a primary source of 
intelligence because it has become the premier first response to key events and 
the primal alert to possible developing situations.”

The application the FBI hopes to have built would simply make this process 
easier and more thorough.

Here’s how the FBI envisions the app working: The information gathered from 
news and social media outlets would be overlaid onto a digital map, pinpointing 
the location of the “breaking events,” along with all other relevant contextual 
data. Additional information, including US domestic terror data, worldwide 
terror data, the location of all US embassies, consulates and military 
installations, weather conditions and forecasts, and traffic video feeds, would 
also be overlaid on the map.

A robust search feature would also be incorporated into the app, which would 
allow the ability to “instantly search and monitor key words and strings in 
‘publicly available’ tweets across the Twitter Site and any other ‘publicly 
available social networking sites/forums,” according to the RFI. The FBI wants 
the search function to allow for simultaneous key word searches “that can look 
at 10 or 20 separate incidents/threats at the same time within the same 
‘window.’” The ability to monitor tweets and other social media data in a 
minimum of 12 foreign languages, and to “immediately translate” those posts 
into English, is also outlined as a required feature of the application.

The future is now

All of that seems fairly straight forward. In fact, we are surprised the FBI 
doesn’t already have such an application at their disposal, since all of the 
features it outlines are well within the capabilities of a skilled software 
development team. Not to mention the fact that much of what the FBI hopes to 
use already exists in different parts. Websites like OpenStatusSearch.com, 
YourOpenBook.org, TweetScan.com and Tweepz.com make it possible to quickly and 
easily search for key words being posted publicly to Twitter and Facebook. All 
the FBI’s dreamed-up app would do is combine these features into a single 
product, and expand them with additional governmental and law enforcement data, 
and mapping tools.

However, the FBI doesn’t just want to know about what’s happening now; it also 
wants to predict events that are about to happen — to predict the future. If 
that sounds suspiciously like Minority Report, you’re not alone.

“Social media will be critical to meeting the intelligence objectives stated 
above because it provides unique access to communications about the special 
event [i.e. political conventions, national holidays, or sporting events] in 
advance of its occurrence,” reads the RFI.

As with the ability to search tweets and updates, using social media to predict 
the future is nothing new. In March 2011, the Journal of Computational Science 
showed that tweets could be used to predict upcoming fluctuations of the Dow 
Jones Industrial Average to an accuracy of 86.7 percent. And just this month, 
the Rand Corporation analyzed tweets from 2009 that used the hashtag 
#IranElection, and found that an increase in swear words in tweets could be 
used to predict where and when protests and other forms of public discontent 
would occur.

Using predictive technology isn’t limited to academics, governments, or 
corporations, either. The website RecordTheFuture.com allows anyone with an 
account to access troves of information about potential upcoming events, 
including product releases, stock fluctuations, and even upcoming vacation 
plans of private individuals.

Is everyone a target?

In other words, the worlds of Aldous Huxley and George Orwell have already 
arrived. The FBI simply wants to create a custom application that combines 
already-available technology, and streamlines it, in an attempt to do their job 
better. That’s all good and well when if it’s used to stop truly “bad guys,” 
like terrorists who want to blow up a football stadium. The problem is, who do 
they consider “bad guys” nowadays? Hackers like Anonymous? Wikileaks 
supporters? Occupy Wall Street protesters? Everyone?

The most cautious (and possibly wisest) among us would say all of the above. 
And it’s increasingly hard to refute their warnings. Late last year, President 
Obama signed the latest iteration of the National Defense Authorization Act 
(NDAA), a law that comes up for annual renewal. The problem with this year’s 
version, say critics, is that it includes provisions that would allow the US 
military to detain anyone — including US citizens — anywhere in the world, 
without trial or due process, if they are suspected of terrorist activities. 
Moreover, NDAA provides such an ambiguous definition of “terrorist activity” 
that groups like Occupy Wall Street or Anonymous could fall under this perilous 
category.

It must be pointed out that President Obama included a signing statement with 
NDAA that guaranteed that his administration would not use the law to 
indefinitely detain US citizens. Needless to say, that has done little to quell 
the cognizant public’s outrage.

So, what to make of all this? Most obviously, it is now painfully clear that 
everything we post online is being watched. And if the FBI gets its new 
application — which seems to us an inevitability — the eyes with which it sees 
our tweets and updates will have bionic vision, and even the ability to peer 
into the future. What is less obvious is how the government’s quest to protect 
the public good will be abused to trample legitimate free speech and lawful 
public dissent.

In short: Big Brother is real. He is watching. So be careful what you say 
online today — it could be used against you tomorrow.


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Just because i'm near the punchbowl doesn't mean I'm also drinking from it.

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