Study suggests U.S. box office not affected by BitTorrent

 February 11, 2012 By Francis Bea
 
http://www.digitaltrends.com/international/study-suggests-u-s-box-office-not-affected-by-bittorrent/

A study by researchers from Wellesley College and the University of Missouri, 
has found that U.S. box office sales are not affected by BitTorrent pirating. 
More importantly, the report revealed that movie studios hold the power to curb 
piracy by decreasing international box office release windows.

Online piracy may not be as bad as Hollywood would like you to believe. A new 
study titled, “Reel Piracy: The Effect of Online Film Piracy on International 
Box Office Sales,” conducted by Brett Danaher, from the Department of Economics 
at Wellesley College, and Joel Waldfogel from the Department of Economics at 
University of Missouri, suggests little, if any, loss of revenue on U.S. box 
office sales after the release of BitTorrent. More importantly, while piracy is 
exhibited to have a direct correlation to a loss of revenue in the 
international box offices, decreasing the release window would be sufficient 
enough to curtail losses.

An international movie release following its U.S. debut is wrought with 
technical difficulties that contribute to a wide release window. The expensive 
cost of the 35mm film print (a 110 year old technology) for distribution to 
movie theaters, both domestic and international, typically consumes 3.5 percent 
of a film’s budget. In an effort to cut costs, it’s common practice for 
distributors to reuse film from theater to theater, thereby exacerbating the 
time between releases. But recently, theaters have been slowly transitioning 
from film to digital projection systems.

The study underlines three other key problems for movie studios:

1. There is a shortage of international theaters.

2. The complexity of organizing promotional appearances for the film’s actors 
adds to the delay.

3. Action and science fiction genres exhibit the highest supply of online 
pirated movies.

What shouldn’t come as a surprise from the aforementioned complications is that 
the restlessness of international fans, waiting weeks or months for a film’s 
release, is often assuaged by watching pirated material. But what needs to be 
highlighted from the study is its evidence supporting the notion that, 
generally, consumers, both domestic and international, will favor theaters over 
illegal distribution channels.

“Consumers in the US who would choose between the box office and piracy choose 
the box office (and the remaining US pirates had valuations lower than the 
ticket price) but that international consumers who would consider both options 
choose piracy due to a lack of legal availability,” wrote the researchers. “If 
piracy displaced box office sales in the US, we would have expected the slope 
of the returns profile to shift more significantly as BitTorrent became more 
widely adopted.”

In other words, researchers were unable to discern an irregular drop in returns 
of domestic box office sales, which could fault BitTorrent as the culprit.

Despite the mounting evidence and studies providing evidence to the 
needlessness of the movie studios’ assault against file-sharing services, their 
attacks have been intensifying. At the end of the day, these results suggest 
that, while directing the blame at file-sharing services induces the fear of 
prosecution among other file-sharing competitors, much of the power to curb 
piracy remains in the hands of the studios.


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Just because i'm near the punchbowl doesn't mean I'm also drinking from it.

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