U.S. Punishes Russia for Election Hacking, Ejecting Operatives

David E. Sanger

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/29/us/politics/russia-election-hacking-sanctions.html

Asked on Wednesday night at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Fla., about 
reports of the impending sanctions, Mr. Trump said: “I think we ought to get on 
with our lives. I think that computers have complicated lives very greatly. The 
whole age of computer has made it where nobody knows exactly what is going on. 
We have speed, we have a lot of other things, but I’m not sure we have the 
kind, the security we need.”

The Obama administration is also planning to release a detailed “joint analytic 
report” from the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Department of Homeland 
Security that is clearly based in part on intelligence gathered by the National 
Security Agency. A more detailed report on the intelligence, ordered by 
President Obama, will be published in the next three weeks, though much of the 
detail — especially evidence collected from “implants” in Russian computer 
systems, tapped conversations and spies — is expected to remain classified.

Despite the fanfare and political repercussions surrounding the announcement, 
it is not clear how much real effect the sanctions may have, although they go 
well beyond the modest sanctions imposed against North Korea for its attack on 
Sony Pictures Entertainment two years ago.

Starting in March 2014, the United States and its Western allies levied 
sanctions against broad sectors of the Russian economy and blacklisted dozens 
of people, some of them close friends of President Vladimir V. Putin, after the 
Russian annexation of Crimea and its activities to destabilize Ukraine. Mr. 
Trump suggested in an interview with The New York Times earlier this year that 
he believed those sanctions were useless, and left open the possibility he 
might lift them.

Mr. Obama and his staff have debated for months when and how to impose what 
they call “proportionate” sanctions for the remarkable set of events that took 
place during the election, as well as how much of them to announce publicly. 
Several officials, including Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., have suggested 
that there may also be a covert response, one that would be obvious to Mr. 
Putin but not to the public.

While that may prove satisfying, many outside experts have said that unless the 
public response is strong enough to impose a real cost on Mr. Putin, his 
government and his vast intelligence apparatus, it might not deter further 
activity.

“They are concerned about controlling retaliation,” said James A. Lewis, a 
cyberexpert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

The Obama administration was riven by an internal debate about how much of its 
evidence to make public. Although the announcement risks revealing sources and 
methods, it was the best way, some officials inside the administration argued, 
to make clear to a raft of other nations – including China, Iran and North 
Korea – that their activities can be tracked and exposed.

In the end, Mr. Obama decided to expand an executive order that he issued in 
April 2015, after the Sony hacking. He signed it in Hawaii on Thursday morning, 
specifically giving himself and his successor the authority to issue travel 
bans and asset freezes on those who “tamper with, alter, or cause a 
misappropriation of information, with a purpose or effect of interfering with 
or undermining election processes or institutions.”

Mr. Obama used that order to immediately impose sanctions on four Russian 
intelligence officials: Igor Valentinovich Korobov, the current chief of a 
military intelligence agency, the G.R.U., and three deputies: Sergey 
Aleksandrovich Gizunov, the deputy chief of the G.R.U.; Igor Olegovich 
Kostyukov, a first deputy chief, and Vladimir Stepanovich Alekseyev, also a 
first deputy chief of the G.R.U.

But G.R.U. officials rarely travel to the United States, or keep their assets 
here, so the effects may be largely symbolic. It is also unclear if any 
American allies will impose parallel sanctions on Russia.

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The administration also put sanctions on three companies and organizations that 
it said supported the hacking operations: the Special Technologies Center, a 
signals intelligence operation in St. Petersburg; a firm called Zor Security 
that is also known as Esage Lab; and the “Autonomous Non-commercial 
Organization Professional Association of Designers of Data Processing Systems,” 
whose lengthy name, American officials said, was cover for a group that 
provided specialized training for the hacking.

“It is hard to do business around the world when you are named like this,” a 
senior administration official with long experience in Russia sanctions said on 
Thursday morning. The official spoke on the condition of anonymity because of 
the sensitive nature of the intelligence.

But the question will remain whether the United States acted too slowly – and 
then, perhaps, with not enough force. Members of Hillary Clinton’s election 
campaign argue that the distractions caused by the leakage of emails, showing 
infighting in the D.N.C., and later the private communications of John D. 
Podesta, the campaign chairman, absorbed an American press corps more 
interested in the leaks than in the phenomena of a foreign power marrying new 
cybertechniques with old-style information warfare.

Certainly the United States had early notice. The F.B.I. first informed the 
D.N.C. that it saw evidence that the committee’s email systems had been hacked 
in the fall of 2015. Months of fumbling and slow responses followed. Mr. Obama 
said at a new conference he was first notified early this summer. But one of 
his top cyberaides met Russian officials in Geneva to complain about 
cyberactivity in April.

By the time the leadership of the D.N.C. woke up to what was happening, the 
G.R.U. had not only obtained those emails through a hacking group that has been 
closely associated with it for years, but, investigators say, also allowed them 
to be published on a number of websites, from a newly created one called “DC 
Leaks” to the far more established WikiLeaks. Meanwhile, several states 
reported the “scanning” of their voter databases – which American intelligence 
agencies also attributed to Russian hackers. But there is no evidence, American 
officials said, that Russia sought to manipulate votes or voter rolls on Nov. 8.

Mr. Obama decided not to issue sanctions ahead of the elections, for fear of 
Russian retaliation ahead of election day. Some of his aides now believe that 
was a mistake. But the president made clear before leaving for Hawaii that he 
planned to respond.

The question now is whether the response he has assembled will be more than 
just symbolic, deterring not only Russia but others who might attempt to 
influence future elections.
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