Well, Crikey, I dunno.  Where are the Insights from this tactical screed?

It's not totally accurate, for a start.
Whilst the focus was of course on the lower house, both Herald's ACNielsen
poll and a small one commissioned by News (Galaxy) forecast the result well.
ACNielsen even over-estimated the win.

But I was expecting this result after reading Hugh Mackay's article a week
or so before.  Here is a man whose mind we know but who also learns the mind
of the community through his own empirical methods.  He forecast in sadness
against his hopes.

Would we agree that policies that are "too complex" need to be simplified in
order to be sold to the electorate, instead of being matched to the need?
Or that a campaigns should deliberately swing further towards negativity?

Clearly *people* need to change for the better - not campaigns for the
worse - if this is the thinking.

Alan Ramsay in yesterday's Herald certainly thought so.  He wore his heart
on his sleeve.

No heart in this analysis below.  No questions about ourselves as a people.

One worrying propect identified, though (amongst many): the idea that Packer
may get carte blanche for a takeover of Fairfax.  I got all my mateiral
above from the Sydney Morning Herald.  It may not be a perfect paper, but it
offers more than the web-based journalism I've encountered so far.
It even managed to have a piece on Aboriginal health - that great neglected
issue that our UCA was pushing - just before the election.

"Campaign" strategy for me henceforth will be on getting people on
subcriptions like the Herald - and talking.  Or at least getting them to
watch my 15 minutes compulsory TV each week - ABC's Media Watch (Mondays,
9:15 pm).
It would include Insights mailing list too, as long as there are insights to
share.

David





-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of John Maynard
Sent: Monday, 11 October 2004 09:07
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Sadly, That's Politics


http://www.crikey.com.au/politics/2004/10/10-0006.html

Crikey's Sunday election post-mortem
By The Crikey Team

Here are some of the election items sent to subscribers on Sunday after the
dust had settled from John Howard's spectacular triumph.

Will Howard go the full Fightback! agenda?

No-one picked it.  ...

So why did Labor do so badly? There will be a torrent of analysis this week
and we'd love to hear your views to boss @crikey.com.au and might even work
up a survey on the issue.

To kick things off, here are seven government positives and Labor negatives:
...

1. Labor failed to prove its economic credentials and Latham should have
talked more about economic management and reform.

2. Labor's advertising and campaigning was too positive, even though Howard
was constantly called dishonest.

3. The Labor policies were too complex, came too late and created too many
losers.

...

Crikey's man in the Press Gallery, Hugo Kelly, writes:

To the winner the spoils, and the next three years will see John Howard
control both houses of Parliament - the Senate either directly or via the
religious fundamentalists at Family First.

There can be no complaint from Labor. The people have spoken and the
verdict delivered. For Mark Latham and his party, the hard work of serious
Opposition begins today.

...

Former Labor hack Hugo Kelly writes:
...
Ted Horton take a bow and bring back Singo

An advertising expert writes:

Simon Canning was right on Friday in The Australian when he singled out the
Liberal's advertising was much much better than Labor's.

Even though the interest rate campaign was misinformation it hit the nerve
of a public who really don't have much interest or a grasp of economics.
Intelligent people I know were fooled.

... Singo is the man.
They've got about two years to ponder it.
...


Copyright � 1999 - 2004 Crikey Media Pty Ltd. All rights reserved
http://www.crikey.com.au/politics/2004/10/10-0006.html

-------------------------------------------------------------------
John Maynard  ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
PO Box 600, Cowes VIC  3922  Australia
-------------------------------------------------------------------


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