http://www.aawsat.com/english/news.asp?section=2&id=24593


Gaddafi predicted this before.

21/03/2011
By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid


Why did Colonel Muammar Gaddafi fail to acknowledge his own warning, which he 
once gave to other Arab leaders, after Saddam Hussein was executed? He warned 
that what had happened was a serious danger, and that other Arab leaders could 
be next. Today it is Gaddafi's turn, as international coalition forces have now 
taken measures to overthrow his regime, and kill or capture its leader.

Gaddafi has done nothing at state level to change the way in which is perceived 
by the countries of the region and the world. He did not learn a lesson from 
what happened in Iraq, despite the fact that Saddam's lesson was clear, given 
that the Iraqi dictator refused to reconcile with his people, and considered 
ruling with an iron fist to be the best way to maintain his authority. Saddam 
Hussein made a terrible mistake after he was granted a window of opportunity, 
having been given a long time to revise his policy after his defeat in the 
Kuwait war, and even when international sanctions and restrictions were placed 
upon him. Yet he continued to provoke foreign countries, and continued to harm 
his own people through prosecution and persecution, instead of pursuing a more 
flexible policy, both internally and abroad. The reason is that dictators are 
permanently set in their ways. Gaddafi seemed terrified after Saddam Hussein 
was executed, and considered the incident to be a message for him and his 
peers. He did not hide his concern, warning other Arab leaders that their turn 
could be next.

Colonel Gaddafi had many opportunities to transform into a conventional leader, 
and stop his bloody onslaught against his opponents, and all those who 
disagreed with him throughout the world. He had an enormous state income at his 
disposal, and is probably still in possession of a sizable amount of funds, 
which he stored when sanctions were imposed on his country, and afterwards, 
until Libya was considered at least the third richest Arab regime. As a result, 
he promised to alleviate the suffering of the Libyan citizens, improve living 
conditions and government services, and abolish unjust laws. He promised a 
transition towards a conventional regime, exercising tolerance towards the 
opposition, with an expanding domain of genuine participation, instead of the 
farcical talk of popular committees, and the rule of the people, and that 
Gaddafi was just the ceremonial figurehead of Libya, without any real power. No 
one believed this nonsense for one minute.

Gaddafi's difficult crisis has proven that it is almost impossible for a 
dictator to learn lessons. Saddam Hussein did not learn from his defeat in 
1991, and in the subsequent years he continued to be preoccupied with revenge, 
rather than reconciliation and change. Gaddafi should have taken notice when 
his intelligence staff were arrested and tried for the Lockerbie bombing, and 
he was forced to pay huge financial compensation. However, this did not stop 
him maneuvering and conspiring, and continuing to with his old ruling system, 
as if the world had not changed around him.

He failed to learn his lesson even in the early hours following the adoption of 
the UN Security Council resolution, authorizing the use of force to neutralize 
Gaddafi's troops. Instead, he embarked on another error when his planes 
attacked Benghazi, prompting international forces to quickly declare war upon 
him, with global popular support.

Now is Gaddafi's last chance, if he can find a peaceful way out of this 
situation. However, it does not seem like he will be given this opportunity.


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