http://english.pravda.ru/world/asia/20-11-2012/122866-russia_afghanistan-0/

Russia to return to Afghanistan after US occupation
20.11.2012 
In an anticipation of the withdrawal of Western troops from Afghanistan, Russia 
strengthens its activity in Afghanistan. Hamid Karzai's government is ready to 
cooperate. Karzai ordered to build a Russian Cultural Centre in Kabul. Ordinary 
Afghans support the return of the Russian Federation too. Will the current 
government find a compromise with the Taliban? The answer to this question 
means a lot indeed.

It is obvious that Moscow's interest after the withdrawal of NATO troops from 
Afghanistan, scheduled for 2014, will increase dramatically. This country has 
always been in the zone of Soviet and Russian interests. For example, on 27 
March 1919, the government of the Russian Federation was the first of all other 
states to have officially recognized the independence and sovereignty of 
Afghanistan.

In the 20th century, the Soviet Union managed to become one of the most 
important foreign partners of the country. In 1979, the Soviet Union deployed 
its contingent in Afghanistan at the request of the Afghan government to 
prevent a civil war, but became embroiled in a festering conflict. After the 
withdrawal of Soviet troops in 1989, the general opinion of this assistance in 
both Afghanistan and Russia was negative.

Everything is relative. Nowadays, after what the Americans leave in 
Afghanistan, the Soviet presence seems to be a blessing. Soviet soldiers are 
remembered with respect in Afghanistan. They did not trample the dignity of the 
Afghans in the mud and could negotiate.

It is symbolic that it is the Russian culture and language that return to 
Afghanistan first. Kabul has launched the construction of a new Russian 
Cultural Centre, Reuters reports. The center is expected to open its doors in 
2014. The new center will teach the Russian language, music, dancing and 
traditional Russian crafts. There will be a large concert hall, reminiscent of 
the one that used to be in 1983, the Russian ambassador in Kabul, Andrey 
Avetisyan, proudly said.

"We are here in the region, and will stay here forever. And to have a good, 
friendly and good neighborly relations, one needs to start with the development 
of the cultural component," said Avetisyan. According to the ambassador, the 
interest in the Russian language has been growing among the Afghans, as local 
people regard Russia as an important partner in Afghanistan in the 
post-American period.

Mohammad Rahim Banaizada, one of six teachers of Russian at the University of 
Kabul, sticks to the same opinion. "Our students are too young to worry about 
the past. Instead, they consider the Russian language as a bridge to the 
realization of their social and economic opportunities," said Banaizada. He 
noted that the number of students, who study Russian at the University today is 
five times larger than it was five years ago. "Russia is our neighbor, we love 
its culture. All was well, when the Russians were here," a third-year student 
said, Reuters reports.

Russia's political line in Afghanistan is at the stage of development. It will 
depend on specific threats and, above all, on the activity of the Taliban and 
the ability of  Karzai's government to retain power. It is obvious that one 
needs to create new regional vectors of influence with Pakistan, India, the 
CSTO countries and especially Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and 
Uzbekistan. Today we can say with certainty that Russia will face the need to 
combat drug trafficking that has increased hundreds of times during the stay of 
NATO troops.

One shall expect the strengthening of the terrorist threat too. The situation 
in Afghanistan is already deteriorating in all regions of the country. The 
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), which dominates the north, poses a 
considerable threat to former Soviet republics. The movement conducts the "mine 
war" and carries out terrorist attacks. Most likely, one will have to send 
Russian military advisers to help the local army and police. However, the 
Russian government sees prospects for peace, otherwise there would be no need 
to revive the cultural center.

The main direction of Russia's peaceful return to Afghanistan is economic 
assistance and investment in infrastructure, which was built by Soviet 
specialists almost entirely and is still maintained with the help of Soviet 
technology.

The first meeting of the Russian-Afghan intergovernmental commission on trade 
and economic cooperation took place in March. In 2011, the trade turnover 
between the two countries totaled $984.96 million, and thus increased 12 times 
as compared to 2004.

The "transit capacity" of Afghanistan in implementing TAPI gas pipeline 
(Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India) and CASA-1000 (the construction of 
electric power line from Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to Pakistan via 
Afghanistan), in which Russian companies are actively involved, is interesting 
as well. Finance Minister Omar Zahelval noted that Afghanistan was interested 
in the projects related to transport and construction.

"We are ready to consider special conditions for Russia's participation in the 
reconstruction of the Kabul house-building plant and a cement factory of Jabal 
Seraj," said Zahelval, noting that Russian companies could count on privileged 
conditions in those projects. But the most important task is to develop the 
program of reorientation of Afghan peasants to grow food instead of opium 
poppies.

The Americans try to make everyone believe that Afghan farmers can not do 
anything else, but this is not true to fact. The Federal Service for Drug 
Control of the Russian Federation says that the opium production in Afghanistan 
reduced during the last period when Talibs stayed in power. However, the 
production of opium increased sharply after the occupation of that country. In 
2001 (the last year of the Taliban rule in Afghanistan) there were 185 tons of 
opium collected, and in 2004 - 12,000 tons. According to the service, the opium 
production in the country has increased by 44 times for the past seven years.

Russia's plan "Rainbow-2", which, in contrast to Western eponymous plan 
"Rainbow", is to recover the economy and Afghanistan as a whole through the 
development of infrastructure, especially in the field of energy and 
electrification.

Lyuba Lulko

Pravda.Ru


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