http://english.pravda.ru/world/asia/10-01-2013/123434-bashar_assad-0/

Assad on political offensive
10.01.2013 
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was met by a jubilant crowd as a winner. 
Living on the edge of life and death, he appealed to the people not from a 
bunker and his office, but the stage of the Opera Theater in Damascus. This is 
an exemplary act of a real leader who wants to raise his people to fight 
against the enemy - international terrorism.

The Syrian leader said that he was one of the people and would always be with 
the people. He added that titles were temporary, but the homeland was eternal. 
Interestingly, his speech on January 6 came after two significant events: the 
visit of Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Miqdad to Moscow on December 27 and a 
meeting of UN special envoy Lakhdar Brahimi with the Syrian opposition that 
presented a new peace plan for resolving the conflict.

The results of the Russian-Syrian meeting were not disclosed. Senior Researcher 
with the Institute of Eastern Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences 
Vladimir Akhmedov said that its goal was to clarify how Russia would support 
President Assad, whose departure is demanded by the opposition. Bahrami plan, 
referred to as the "agreement between Moscow and Washington," was prepared on 
the basis of the Geneva agreements and provides that Assad will remain in power 
until the end of his term, that is, until 2014. However, his powers and duties 
will be reduced to the protocol, and he will not be able to participate in the 
next election. The plan was supported by the National Coordinating Committee 
for Democratic Change (NCC) that is not a member of the national coalition of 
the opposition and the revolutionary forces of Syria that the U.S. and hundreds 
of countries recognized as legitimate. Yet, the plan caused harsh criticism of 
the warring factions.
However, its content suggests that the West no longer insists on the immediate 
resignation of Assad. It is also clear that the Syrian president appeared 
inspired, presumably with the support of Moscow and less categorical attitude 
of Washington. The Syrian leader talked about several important aspects.

First, the legitimate president showed that he would not surrender his position 
and clearly identified the enemy of the Syrian people - "associated with" 
al-Qaeda "terrorists" that he described as "enemies of Allah and puppets of the 
West": "There are those who want to divide and weaken Syria. But Syria is 
stronger and will remain a united country. This upsets the West."

Second, Assad said that there can be no question about any negotiations with 
NCC. "Syria will be talking with the master, and not the servants," the 
president said, and rightly noted that the events happening in Syria could not 
be called a revolution. "Revolutions need ideas, revolutions needs leaders. 
Where are the leaders?" Assad said. The President also noted that any peace 
initiative should help the Syrians without trying to replace their actions.

Third, the President urged the people to rally around the army and put forward 
his plan of gradual recovery from the crisis. According to the SANA agency, in 
the first phase the regional and international forces should refrain from 
funding and arming terrorists who have to stop criminal activities in order to 
create conditions for the return of Syrian refugees. Only after that the army 
units would cease operations, while maintaining the right to respond to 
aggression. Then, the current government would direct and open discussions with 
all sectors of the society and prepare the National Dialogue Conference that 
would bring together all forces interested in a peaceful resolution of the 
crisis. The government should convene the National Dialogue Conference to 
generate a national charter that would confirm the sovereignty, territorial 
integrity of Syria, rejection of foreign intervention and the cessation of 
violence, wherever it may come from. This charter would outline the political 
future of Syria, its constitutional and legal system, the main directions of 
development of the economy, the new law on political parties in parliamentary 
and local government elections. The Charter will be put to a referendum, 
followed by a formation of an extended government that can implement its 
provisions.

The next step would be preparation and the referendum on the new Constitution. 
After its approval, the general government would pass the law on elections that 
would serve as the basis for electing a new parliament. Under the new 
Constitution, the government will be formed, general conference of national 
reconciliation will be held, amnesty to participants of events will be granted, 
the destroyed infrastructure restored and compensation to the victims paid. 
Assad has started to act, but to implement this plan, he should move on and try 
to find allies in the Arab world, not only in the face of Iran, set up 
headquarters to coordinate counter terrorism and conduct a broader information 
warfare. Videos on the Internet about the atrocities of militants and, for 
example, captured French advisers, influence public opinion. The fact that the 
pro-Western opposition would reject the proposal of Assad was obvious, and it 
happened, but the problem is that NCC does not have its combat troops. Free 
Syrian Army (FSA), the An-Nusra and other Islamist organizations are not 
subject to it and carry on their war with very different goals.

This fragmentation is the main hope of Assad. Every war ends in negotiations or 
surrender. NCC, in fact, is not in the game, and the Islamists should be forced 
to negotiate. There are grounds for it after the successes of the army in 
December. In addition, there is internal Syrian opposition that wants a 
dialogue, and he should bet on it.

The international response to Assad's speech came as expected. British Foreign 
Secretary William Hague called the appeal to the people of the Syrian president 
"more than hypocritical". The U.S. and EU also condemned him. Sky News TV 
reported that after the speech of Bashar Assad "Al-Baath" university students 
in Homs held an anti-government demonstration. However, they took to the 
streets in support of this statement, denounced Sky News SANA. Syria openly 
supported the Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi. "In line with our 
position and to resolve the Syrian crisis by political means, Iran supports the 
comprehensive plan to end the conflict in the country proposed by President 
Bashar al-Assad," said the Minister.

Russian Foreign Ministry has not made any statements. On December 27 the 
official site of the office published a text of the spokesman Alexander 
Lukashevich.

In particular, he said: "On the development of the situation in Syria. We 
strictly adhere to all agreements and believe that only the Syrians are able to 
develop a sustainable model for their continued existence as a single and 
independent state, and all the foreign players should help."

Lyuba Lulko


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