http://english.pravda.ru/world/europe/23-01-2013/123555-european_union_collapse-0/

Can the European Union collapse?
23.01.2013 
The stable political situation in Europe is not that stable after all. 
Recently, British Prime Minister David Cameron said that the government of the 
United Kingdom would consider pulling out of the EU. Cameron said that the UK 
would not be able to remain in the EU unless Brussels makes some concessions to 
London.

The stable political situation in Europe is not that stable. Britain mentioned 
a possibility of secession from the European Union. The prime minister of the 
United Kingdom David Cameron said that if Brussels does not revise the formula 
of Britain's participation in the EU, the UK government would raise the issue 
of withdrawal from the Union. This was an excerpt from the speech of the prime 
minister of Great Britain he was to deliver in the Netherlands. According to 
him, the prepared speech is of great importance for the country's foreign 
policy. However, it did not take place because of the hostage crisis in 
Algeria. The prime minister was not able to leave London as he had to address 
pressing political issues.

The possibility of the collapse of the European Union is being discussed for 
over a year. Back in 2012, George Soros, an American financier, said he did not 
rule out the possibility of the collapse of the EU. According to him, the 
current situation in Europe is very unstable. If the European currency loses 
its weight in the world, this would inevitably lead to the collapse of the 
European Union. In turn, this would lead to the collapse of not only European 
countries but also many world powers.

According to George Soros, the current economic situation with the Eurozone is 
even more serious than the financial crisis of 2008. However, Soros believes 
that the EU authorities are the only ones to blame in numerous economic 
problems. For example, last year, he criticized the actions of the German 
Chancellor Angela Merkel, accusing her of exacerbating the economic issues of 
Europe. Not all analysts agree with Soros. Last year, a political science 
professor from Germany Winfried Böttcher in an interview said that he did not 
believe that complete disintegration of the European Union was possible.

He thinks that individual members may leave the EU, such as Great Britain, 
however, the major powers will stay. The analyst believes that If the Eurozone 
disintegration is understood as the return to the old national legal forms, 
then it is impossible, because all European countries are unlikely to want to 
halt their development. However, he does not deny internal problems in the 
Eurozone. According to him, in 2013, EU governments should not rush to accept 
new members.  

The reason is the destabilized economic situation in Europe, and Brussels 
should be more cautious when approving new members. However, in the middle of 
this year, Croatia is expected to enter the EU, but, according to the 
professor, only because the application for the European Integration was sent 
by Croatia to the Government of the EU in the 1990s. He believes that had the 
government of Croatia applied a year or two ago, the EU would not even consider 
the application.

According to the president of the EU Herman Van Rompuy, the EU is currently 
experiencing difficult times. The Eurozone economy is unstable, and the 
internal split, sought by British Prime Minister David Cameron, may lead to the 
complete disintegration of the EU on certain geopolitical unification. 
According to him, the aggressive policy of Cameron, who is trying to take over 
the powers in Brussels, would lead to the inevitable collapse of the EU, and 
would cause irreparable damage to the European market. Internal political 
disintegration of the EU is currently one of the main problems of the Eurozone, 
said George Friedman, founder and CEO of STRATFOR, a company dealing with 
social security issues.

In one of his statements he said that the main task of the EU governments was 
prevention of a split and release of the internal political tension. The EU 
President agreed with these conclusions. He believes that the behavior of the 
UK is unacceptable. None of the EU member states should attempt to undermine 
the unity and authority of the Union in the eyes of the world. The President 
noted that if each country considered only its own domestic interests, 
regardless of other participating countries, the EU would cease to exist. As 
for the possible withdrawal of the UK from the European Union, Herman Van 
Rompuy said that the UK would lose much more than Prime Minister David Cameron 
would think.

Cameron said that the economic crisis has been the main problem to date. 
European states are not as competitive as they used to be. In addition, the 
Prime Minister said that general public was quite skeptical of the idea of ​​a 
federal Europe. If, according to Cameron, the EU government does not pay 
attention to the pressing problems of the Eurozone, the United Kingdom would 
consider withdrawal from the EU. As noted by the media, David Cameron stressed 
that Britain should play an important role in the modern world, however, he 
added that it was currently impossible because of the internal contradictions 
in the EU.

As noted by News Agency Daily Telegraph, the United Kingdom Government raised 
the question of holding a referendum on the UK's withdrawal from the EU. As 
stated in the draft, if the referendum is confirmed, the agenda will include 
three questions - whether the UK should remain in the EU, whether it should 
withdraw from the EU, or whether it should reconsider the relations with other 
members of the Union, focusing only on trade and economic issues.

However, the referendum proposal was rejected. Instead, a new law is being 
considered that would give prime minister David Cameron the authority to 
reconsider the relations between Great Britain and the EU. The law will be 
adopted following the parliamentary elections of 2015. The new draft regulates 
the referendum in which British citizens would be able to choose the course of 
the country.

According to Cameron, it would satisfy the requirements of the EU Government 
and would not violate the right of British citizens to choose the fate of their 
country. However, David Cameron said that withdrawal from the EU would be the 
last resort. He thinks it would be best if the UK is be able to stay in the 
European Union.

However, as reported by Daily Telegraph, the United Kingdom Government is not 
pleased with the decision of the EU Government to create a single economic 
policy. The British authorities are unwilling to transfer their main powers to 
the central government of the Eurozone. Britain does not agree with the 
decision of the heads of the European Union to increase the budget. As Cameron 
noted, in the worst case, the size of the EU budget should remain the same, but 
it would be better to reduce it by several percent. The EU authorities proposed 
to increase the annual budget of the Union to 1 trillion euros.

France and Germany proposed to leave the budget at the same level, and Britain 
offered to reduce its size. 51 percent of the UK citizens voted against staying 
with the EU.

In the referendum on accession of the United Kingdom to the EU, 68 percent of 
citizens voted for the accession. Analysts believe it is too early to talk 
about Britain's withdrawal from the EU. However, a certain division in the once 
stable Europe is obvious. In the end, Europe will not be the same, and without 
serious reforms the EU may expect a complete collapse.

Sergei Vasilenkov

Pravda.Ru 


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