http://arabnews.com/news/451361

US military involvement in Syria a ‘mistake’: Gates
Monday 13 May 2013

WASHINGTON: Former US Defense Secretary Robert Gates warned yesterday that 
deepening US military involvement in Syria’s civil war would be a “mistake,” 
warning the outcome would be unpredictable and messy.
In an interview with CBS’s “Face the Nation,” Gates also said he saw “no good 
outcomes” in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program and warned that a full US 
withdrawal from Afghanistan would be “a disastrous mistake.”
Gates’ comments on Syria come amid debate in Washington over whether to step up 
military support for rebels fighting the regime of President Bashar Assad, even 
as the administration attempts a new peace initiative with Russia.
“I thought it was a mistake in Libya, and I think it is a mistake in Syria, 
even if we had intervened more significantly in Syria a year ago or six months 
ago. We overestimate our ability to determine outcomes.
“Caution, particularly in terms of arming these groups and in terms of US 
military involvement, is in order,” he said.
“Anybody who says, ‘It’s going to be clean. It’s going to be neat. You can 
establish safe zones, and it’ll be just swell,’ well, most wars aren’t that 
way,” he said.
Gates, who served under both George W Bush and President Barack Obama, was US 
defense secretary in 2011 when the United States joined a NATO-led air 
operation in Libya that helped rebels topple Libyan leader Moammar Qaddafi.
On Iran, Gates said the best the United States can hope for is that sanctions 
bite deep enough that the regime decides to change course.
“If there is no military attack, and they don’t change their policies, you will 
probably see a nuclear-armed Iran igniting a nuclear arms race in the most 
volatile part of the world, emboldened to be even more aggressive and with 
missiles that can reach Israel now and Europe soon.
“But if you do hit them, then I think the consequences of their retaliation 
could spin out of control,” he said.
Gates, a former intelligence officer who helped oversee US support for Afghan 
insurgents fighting the Soviet Union in the 1980s, said a residual US force 
should remain in the country after 2014, when US troops are scheduled to come 
home.
“I will tell you this: For us to leave lock, stock, and barrel at the end of 
2014, and abandon Afghanistan as we did after the Soviets left, would be a 
disastrous mistake.”
He said he worries that North Korea’s young leader and his generals don’t 
realize there’s been a “dramatic change” in public opinion in South Korea in 
how to respond to belligerent actions by the North.
Robert Gates says that after many years of “swallowing provocation,” the South 
Koreas “are not prepared to take that anyone.”
Gates says that creates a situation where the next act of provocation “could 
result in an escalation and the situation getting out of control.”
Gates tells CBS’ “Face the Nation” that he worries that the North’s young 
leader, Kim Jong Un (kim jawng oon), “does not have an understanding of that.”
He says that while Chinese do have influence with Kim, “they don’t have control 
and that worries me.


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