http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/despite-cheap-wigs-the-cia-are-big-spenders/480354.html

Despite Cheap Wigs, the CIA Are Big Spenders 
22 May 2013 | Issue 5132
By Vasily Kashin
 
The spy scandal involving U.S. diplomat Ryan Fogle reveals some interesting 
points about relations between the U.S. and Russia. 

First, Fogle supposedly offered a Federal Security Service officer $100,000 for 
the first meeting and $1 million annually, plus bonuses, if he agreed to share 
classified information with the U.S. This is much more than informants have 
been paid in the past. By comparison, the KGB and FSB paid CIA mole Aldrich 
Ames, who handed over to Russian intelligence perhaps more classified 
information than any other CIA betrayer before him, a modest $4.6 million 
between 1985 and 1994. The information he provided enabled Soviet authorities 
to dismantle a large part of the CIA's intelligence network in this country. 
Yet Fogle allegedly offered the unidentified Russian intelligence officer, who 
is responsible for the North Caucasus, twice what the Soviet Union paid Ames 
during the peak of the Cold War. Even when you adjust the two sums for 
inflation, that is a lot of money. 

The Fogle case shows the CIA's newfound readiness to pay big money to obtain 
secrets from foreign intelligence agents.

Intelligence services have historically been rather stingy when it comes to 
paying their field operatives and informants. Although the U.S. intelligence 
community had what might seem to have been a large official budget of $53.1 
billion in 2010, which does not include the cost of war-related intelligence, 
most of the money was spent on military assets such as satellites, 
supercomputers and radio intercept systems. Even such a high-value informant as 
former Iraqi Foreign Minister Naji Sabri, who served under former Iraqi 
President Saddam Hussein and cooperated with the CIA for several years prior to 
the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, was paid just $100,000 for his efforts. 

The Fogle case shows the CIA's newfound readiness to spend big money on 
recruiting foreign agents and to take serious risks. It also shows the 
difficulty the agency is having obtaining much-needed classified information 
from foreign sources. Most recently, a CIA agent tried to recruit a Russian 
intelligence officer in Moscow but failed, which resulted in the expulsion of 
the U.S. agent in January. Meanwhile, the FSB, which has noticed an increase in 
U.S. intelligence activity in Moscow since 2011, warned the resident CIA chief 
to scale back his agency's work in the Russian capital. Yet when Washington 
refused to comply and continued its recruitment activities, Moscow decided to 
demonstratively slap Uncle Sam's wrist and stir up a scandal by parading 
Fogle's arrest and expulsion on national television.

The final act in the current scandal came after Fogle's arrest. Interfax 
published an interview with an FSB representative who revealed the identity of 
the CIA station chief in Moscow and the name of the CIA agent who was expelled 
this January. Publishing the names of the resident chief and a failed spy in 
the media was a nasty blow below the belt to U.S. intelligence and was intended 
to show the degree of displeasure that the FSB feels over their activities. The 
spies whose names and faces have been broadcast in this way will now be unable 
to work not only in Russia but in any country of the world. 

Intelligence agencies in nearly every country are extensions of foreign policy. 
If agents plow forward, offering great sums of money to potential informants 
even after previous attempts have ended badly, it must reflect their agency's 
official policy. It is very possible that a new dynamic will soon be seen in 
U.S.-Russian relations.  

As for Fogle, the Russian media portrayed him as a comic Austin Powers figure. 
But nothing about the circumstances of his arrest indicates that he was  
incompetent. Working in a foreign city where mobile telephone operators are 
required to cooperate with the police and intelligence agencies and where the 
streets are brimming with private and government video surveillance cameras, it 
is clear that Fogle had to move about primarily on foot and limit his use of 
modern electronic gadgets to cheap mobile phones that could be thrown away 
after one call. 

It is common for intelligence officers to conduct "test runs" prior to meeting 
with an important source or target for recruitment. The maneuver might last for 
hours as the agent tries to determine if he is being watched or followed and 
could easily take place on a city's periphery where there are fewer cameras. 
(Fogle was apprehended near the Vorontsovo Park in southern Moscow.) Since 
Moscow is not the easiest city to navigate, there is nothing unusual about 
carrying a city map, or even a compass, to help in the task. As for the 
infamous blond wig that Fogle was wearing when he was arrested, he might have 
used it to blend into the crowd to evade being caught by Russian authorities.

Vasily Kashin is an analyst with CAST, a Moscow-based think tank. This comment 
appeared in Vedomosti.


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