Hi Rajiv,

Post reading this,shall one go short on sugar stocks for october series.

Regards]

Dipin

On Sat, Aug 30, 2008 at 9:52 AM, Maverick <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Sugar-Creating Overcapacity Without Sugar Cane, then ask for sops Under
Mulayam Singh's tenure a new Sugar expansion package was announced by
the State Government, which was availaed of by Bajaj Hindustan,
Balrampur, Dhampur, Oudh and Upper Ganges. No one thought about the
supply of Sugarcane, so even as global Sugar prices rise why is the
industry crying now? I think they will cry much more in 2009, when
there will be no cane to crush. Sugar exporters have expressed their
dissension over the Finance Minister, Mr P. Chidambaram's suggestion to
discontinue the subvention (grant of money) given to sugar exports
before its deadline of September 30. Speaking to reporters on the
sidelines of a function to inaugurate currency futures at the National
Stock Exchange, Mr Chidambaram said: "In my view, the subvention given
for sugar exports must now come to an end. Much sugar has been exported
now. I have spoken to the Ministry of Agriculture regarding this." Of
the export target of 45 lakh tonnes till end-September, sugar companies
have exported 43.7 lakh tonnes till date. Last year, 18 lakh tonnes
were exported. Mr Naik Navre, Managing Director, Federation of
Cooperative Sugar Industry in Maharashtra, said the move, if
implemented, will be highly detrimental for the industry. "It will lead
to exporters defaulting on their commitments and earn a bad name for
the country," he added. The Government announced a subvention of Rs
1,350 a tonne on sugar exports last year on the back of a bumper
production. Last few months sugar prices have been rising in the
domestic markets raising Government's concern. "The removal of
subvention will not have any impact on the domestic prices as they are
driven by other factors," said an exporters Overseas scenario
Expectation of lower sugarcane output in India and Brazil next year has
pushed up global prices by over 17 per cent in last three months. In
fact, sugar was the only commodity that has withstood the sharp
correction in commodity prices, said an analyst. According to
International Sugar Organisation, global sugar output is expected to
fall 4 per cent to 161.6 million tonnes (mt) in sugar season ending
September, 2009. In India, output is estimated to drop by 17 per cent
to 22 mt next season, said Indian Sugar Mills Association. The area
under sugarcane cultivation in Maharashtra is also expected to go down
by 26 per cent to 8 lakh hectares in 2008-09 against 10.88 lakh
hectares last year. Consequently, the cane output is expected to drop
21 per cent to 702 lt (855 lt), while cane available for crushing is
estimated lower by 35 per cent at 500 lt (761 lt). Sugar production
will be down 37 per cent to 57 lt (90.96 lt). The sugar production in
2008-09 is estimated to fall 20 per cent to 217 lakh tonnes (lt),
against 273 lt. It may slip further by 14 per cent to 187 lt in 2009-10
sugar season.

Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates,
expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of
the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially
from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government
regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the
countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate
and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their
pricing, product demand and supply constraints. Nothing in this article
is, or should be construed as, investment advice.









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Posted By Ronald Chisley to Investor Forums at 9/01/2008 09:53:00 AM
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