The fast growing healthcare sector has poor representation in the
domestic equity market. Only a handful of companies from the sector are
listed on the bourses currently, limiting the choice for investors.
With rising economic prosperity, the tertiary care segment is growing
steadily. Midsized player Fortis Healthcare is a promising pick from
this space.

The Delhi-based company reported its maiden profit in the June '08
quarter. With the company's hospital network reaching a critical mass,
its financials are expected to improve further in the forthcoming
quarters. Aggressive expansion plans, a differentiated business model
and improving efficiencies make Fortis a good longterm bet for
investors. Besides, the healthcare segment is expected to outperform in
a bearish phase.

BUSINESS:

Incorporated in 1996, Ranbaxy-promoted Fortis Healthcare started its
business in '01. With a dominant presence in North India, the company
currently operates a network of 14 hospitals and eight satellite/heart
command centres, including one heart command centre in Afghanistan.
These hospitals include multi-specialty hospitals, as well as
super-specialty centres providing tertiary and quaternary healthcare to
patients in areas such as orthopaedics, neurosciences, oncology, renal
care, gastroenterology and mother & child care with expertise in
cardiac care.

Among the 14 hospitals, four are run under management contract, while
Fortis owns the remaining. Barring the hospital located at Jaipur, all
the nine hospitals under Fortis are back in the black. The company also
runs two other hospitals under the publicprivate partnership
arrangement. It has an average occupancy rate of 60-70% across its
various facilities. Fortis acquired the Escorts group of hospitals
in '05, which added five hospitals to its kitty, including the famous
Escorts Heart Institute in Delhi.

GROWTH STRATEGY:

Fortis has primarily grown through acquisitions. Unlike other players
in the field who are building a national presence without being
dominant players in any region, Fortis believes in regional
consolidation. First, it built a considerable presence in North India
and it now plans to do the same in West and South India.

Fortis' immediate priority is to extend its market share and it aims to
grab the share of the unorganised healthcare market to achieve a
national footprint. The company acquired Chennai-based Malar Hospital
last September. In the short run, the company is looking at inorganic
growth to increase the quantum of its facilities, while relying on
organic expansion in the long run.

Given its brand equity, the company views Escorts as an underperforming
asset and hence, intends to grow the Escorts network of hospitals.
Escorts' incremental growth will further beef up Fortis' margins.

The company has two hospitals under construction in the National
Capital Region (NCR) and a hospital at Vashi in Navi Mumbai
(Maharashtra) is being commissioned under the public-private
partnership model. With a planned expenditure of nearly Rs 2,250 crore,
Fortis aims to increase its hospitals network to 40 by '11, taking its
total capacity to 6,000-7,000 beds. It is looking at greenfield
projects, management contracts and acquisitions to expand.


Fortis intends to raise funds via internal accruals and debt, while
remaining open to further fund infusion by investors, including
promoters. Raising funds will not be a constraint, as the promoters are
expected to receive nearly Rs 10,000 crore from the sale of Ranbaxy
Labs.

FINANCIALS:

The healthcare sector is a capital-intensive service sector with a long
gestation period. In the case of Fortis, new acquisitions and
greenfield projects have been eating into the company's profits from
existing
facilities. However, as the proportion of old facilities rises in the
company's portfolio, Fortis is expected to become profitable on a
sustained basis.

It reported its maiden profit in the June '08 quarter. The turnaround
was aided by various cost-cutting measures and improvement in
efficiencies by standardisation of operating systems, procedures and
sourcing across the chain. The company's net sales have increased at a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 67% since '03 to Rs 507 crore in
FY08, while losses have grown at a slower pace and touched Rs 55.5
crore in FY08.

During FY08, the company's net sales suffered due to a decline in
revenues posted by Escorts Hospital on account of the loss of business
due to the exit of well-known cardiologist Naresh Trehan.

Fortis' older facilities have the highest operating margins of 27% in
the industry vis-a-vis 18% for Apollo Hospital. While each specialty
hospital division has differ ent gross margins, the company has
registered a 10-15% growth in revenue per occupied bed over the past
year.

Rising occupancy and a lower length of stay have contributed to higher
asset turnover, which has led to better operating margins. As the
company ramps up occupancies across hospitals and simultaneously
reduces the average length of a patient's stay, its operating margin
and net profit will improve. Currently, in the growth phase, the
company intends to plough in its profits to further the growth
momentum. So, investors looking for dividend income will have to wait
for a while.

VALUATIONS:

Having been a loss-making company in the past, Fortis is now looking at
a positive turnaround during this fiscal year. Taking a conservative
estimate of 25% increase in revenues, it is likely to achieve a
turnover of Rs 634 crore by '09 and its operating profit is estimated
to be around Rs 90 crore.

Accordingly, the stock is currently trading at around 19 times its
forward EBITDA (earnings before interest, depreciation, tax and
amortisation or operating margins). In comparison, it is trading at
around 25 times its trailing EBITDA. This provides a good upside
potential for long-term investors.


BOOSTER SHOT


Ranbaxy-promoted Fortis Healthcare is one of the largest private
hospital chains operating in the tertiary care segment.

It has a dominant presence in North India. Fortis currently operates a
network of 14 hospitals and eight satellite/heart command centres,
including one heart command centre in Afghanistan.

Fortis' older facilities have the highest operating margins of 27% in
the industry. Its peer Apollo Hospitals' operating margins stand at 18%.

The company's net sales have increased at a CAGR of 67% since '03 to Rs
507 crore in FY08, while losses have grown at a slower pace and touched
Rs 55.5 crore in FY08.

Unlike other players in the field which are building a national
presence without being dominant players in any region, Fortis believes
in regional consolidation.

With a planned expenditure of nearly Rs 2,250 crore, Fortis aims to
increase its hospitals network to 40 by '11, taking its total capacity
to 6,000-7,000 beds.

Raising funds will not be a constraint, as promoters are expected to
receive nearly Rs 10,000 crore from the sale of Ranbaxy Labs.

The company intends to plough in its profits to further the growth
momentum. So, investors looking for dividend income will have to wait
for a while http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/3483673.cms
Experience is the teacher of all things.
- Julius Caesar


--
Posted By Ronald Chisley to Investor Forums at 9/15/2008 07:56:00 AM
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