Solar Explosives (SEL) is a Nagpur-based manufacturer of industrial
explosives, which are mainly used for mining and infrastructure
projects. SEL, which is the market leader in India, is likely to
benefit from growth in the country's mining sector and several new
infrastructure projects. In light of SEL's expansion plans and forward
integration into the coal mining business, long-term investors can
consider this stock.

BUSINESS:

Established in 1996 with a capacity of 6,000 tonnes cartridge
explosives, SEL has become one of the leaders in the domestic
explosives industry and a major exporter. Its current capacity stands
at 80,000 tonnes cartridge explosives, 94,450 tonnes bulk explosives
and 140 million detonators. SEL controls nearly 20% of India's
explosives market, currently valued at $400 million.

The company has successfully commissioned 12 bulk plants at various
locations supported by one plant each for manufacturing cartridges,
detonators and detonator components. It has a bulk explosives plant in
the vicinity of every subsidiary company of Coal India, as well as in
Singareni Collieries. The company has now started operations with Tata
Steel in Jharkhand. Last year, SEL acquired 74% stake in Navbharat
Coalfields, which owns a mining lease on a coal block in Chhattisgarh
with reserves of 36 million tonnes (mt).

Recently, it obtained permission to pick up 24% stake in a joint
venture with Chhattisgarh Mineral Development Corporation (CMDC) for
development, mining and marketing of coal with estimated reserves of 80
mt at Shankarpur in Chhattisgarh. The commercial operations at these
mining projects are expected to start in FY10.

GROWTH DRIVERS:

India's mining and infrastructure industries are growing rapidly and
the pace of growth is not likely to slacken in the near future. To meet
the power
generation targets set in the 11th Five-Year Plan, India will need huge
amounts of additional coal. This will increase the country's coal
output to 684 mt per annum (mtpa) from around 450 mtpa currently.

The Planning Commission estimates that 17,000 megawatts (mw) hydel
power capacity will come up in the 11th Plan period, which will involve
heavy excavation work, adding to the demand for explosives. During the
same period, the domestic production of steel is expected to increase
from around 55 mt currently to 80 mt. The same applies to most other
metals and minerals. These initiatives will boost the demand for
explosives, which is likely to grow at around 10% every year for the
next 4-5 years.

SEL has already expanded its capacities in India to cater to the
growing domestic market and it also exports its products. It is now
spending around Rs 23 crore to set up a bulk explosives plant in
Nigeria to be commissioned by March '09, supported by another plant in
Africa by June '09. These plants will cater to the African demand for
explosives, which are currently imported at high prices. This will
enable the company to earn higher margins.

FINANCIALS :

SEL's sales have grown at a cumulative annual rate (CAGR) of 51.7% over
the past five years to reach Rs 281 crore in FY08. Its PBDIT grew 61.2%
to Rs 71 crore, while net profit expanded at an even higher pace of
64.2% to reach Rs 36 crore during the same period.

The company's return on capital employed (RoCE) improved to 22% in the
year ended March '08 after averaging around 16% in the past five years.
SEL's current debt-equity ratio is comfortably placed at 0.6 with no
long-term debt. Since SEL is in a growth phase, it is a low
dividendpaying company. Although it has consistently paid dividends in
the past five years, the dividend payout has remained below 15% of its
net profit. Considering the dividend for FY08, SEL's dividend yield
works out to around 0.7%.

VALUATIONS:

At the current market price of Rs 409, the scrip trades at 18 times its
profit for the past 12 months. Going forward, we expect the company to
report a profit of Rs 50 crore in FY09 and Rs 72 crore in FY10. Thus,
the current price is 14.2 times its estimated FY09 earnings and 9.8
times its estimated FY10 earnings.

Among its competitors, Keltech Energies and Premier Explosives, which
are smaller companies, are trading at P/E multiples of around 7.5 each.
Gulf Oil, which is trading at a P/E of around 16.5, and has an
explosives business comparable to that of SEL, derives over 65% of its
turnover from lubricants and other businesses. Although SEL appears to
be fairly valued at present, its leadership position, expansion plans
and entry into coal mining justify the same. The company is likely to
generate healthy returns for longterm investors. var RN = new String
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http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/3483742.cms Experience
is the teacher of all things.
- Julius Caesar


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Posted By Ronald Chisley to Investor Forums at 9/15/2008 07:55:00 AM
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