Now, quarter worries come to haunt D Street
Equity benchmarks ended a percentage lower on Thursday, as concerns over
next month's second quarter earnings weighed down investor sentiment. Such
worries were in addition to the uncertainty over the implementation of the
$700-billion US bailout for its financial sector, which is perceived by
investors as the key to cushion a severe global economic slowdown.

Fund managers said there is anxiety among investors over the quality of
earnings that Indian companies would report in the July-September or second
quarter, as the period saw a sharp jump in raw material costs and higher
interest rates.

"There is lack of conviction whether the second quarter earnings would
spring any positive surprises. So, it is a wait and watch situation," said
Birla SunLife Mutual Fund CIO A Balasubramanian.

On Thursday, BSE's 30-share Sensex closed at 13,547.18, down 145.34 points
or 1.06%. NSE 50-share Nifty ended at 4110.55, down 50.7 points or 1.22%,
after touching the day's low of 4077.50.

Trading on Thursday was choppy, ahead of the October series expiry of
derivatives contracts the same day, with investors squaring off positions in
the futures and options segment and rolling them over to the November
series. Bears had a firmer grip on the broader market, with loses
outnumbering gainers 1688: 899 on the BSE.

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Most analysts do not expect any major deviation in companies' sales growth
this quarter from their estimates, but do not rule out such a situation in
profits. Investors are waiting to see the impact of these factors, including
likely losses from derivatives, on the companies' profits and margins.

"The market continues to bear downside risks in the coming months. Instead
of dealing with high inflation, rising rates and falling global risk
appetite, the market now has to deal with slowing earnings growth, rich
valuations and the likelihood of uncertain politics in the coming months,"
said Morgan Stanley's strategists in a research note.

Market participants said investors are unlikely to take any cues from the
latest inflation figures, which remained unchanged from the previous week at
12.14%, but below analysts forecasts of 12.23%. It is felt that unless the
inflation dips below double digits, investors would not pay much attention
to the data.

Some analysts feel a liberal rescue package by the US would be important to
calm markets over the world, as the crisis in its financial markets
threatens to spread to the rest of the economy. Depression in the US
economy, the world's largest, is expected to derail the global economic
growth. Mirroring such concerns, most Asian markets ended weak on Thursday.

Back home, foreign institutions extended their selling spree in Indian
equities on Thursday, dumping shares worth Rs1,050 crore.


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