> -----Original Message-----
> From: IPsec <[email protected]> On Behalf Of [email protected]
> Sent: Wednesday, July 18, 2018 11:03 AM
> To: [email protected]
> Cc: [email protected]; [email protected]
> Subject: Re: [IPsec] Modp-12288 and Modp-16384
> 
> 
> 
> > On Jul 18, 2018, at 10:55 AM, Scott Fluhrer (sfluhrer)
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> >
> > Answering to give some info about what we know about the likely
> capabilities of Quantum Computers.
> >
> >> -----Original Message-----
> >> From: Tero Kivinen <[email protected]>
> >> Sent: Tuesday, July 17, 2018 5:17 PM
> >> To: Scott Fluhrer (sfluhrer) <[email protected]>
> >> Cc: [email protected]
> >> Subject: RE: [IPsec] Modp-12288 and Modp-16384
> >>
> >> Scott Fluhrer (sfluhrer) writes:
> >>> If the requirement for AES-256 is to handle the scenario "someone
> >>> gets a quantum computer", then in that scenario, there is no
> >>> realistic DH group size that is secure.
> >>
> >> That we do not know until we know what those quantum computers can
> >> really do... I have not seen anybody saying how many qbits you need
> >> to break MODP-2048.
> >
> > It's about twice as many as you need to factor a 2048 bit composite; so
> about 4k (logical) qubits.
> >
> >> Most of the things I have seen talks about factoring RSA, and even
> >> then they do not provide numbers.
> >
> > How about https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0205095 - to factor an n bit
> number, you can do it with circa 2n qubits.
> 
> That, times a factor for error correction.  I've seen various opionions on how
> large that factor is; one estimate was 100 if not higher.

Well, yes, this is logical qubits.  As for how many physical qubits you need to 
implement a logical one, well, that depends on the error correction logic you 
use (and that selection depends a great deal on the error rate you get on the 
physical qubit operations, and various proposed implementations of quantum 
computing differ quite a bit on their likely error rate).

> An interesting
> question is whether coherence across half a million qubits is achievable.

Actually, that's the point of quantum error correction; you don't need to 
achieve consistent coherence across all those physical qubits; it suffices if 
you get coherence across enough of them..


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