Changing the subject line here so we're no longer beating up on poor 
KXEL, which has had enough grief anyway...

Mike McKenna wrote:
> Scott, As a consultant and former owner -- I understand all of the
> rules.  But -- the value of a station is no longer based soley on
> it's intake of cash.   

I never said "solely." There are plenty of factors that go into valuing 
a station. It's no different from buying any other business, really: if 
your goal is to buy an ongoing business, you care deeply about sales and 
cash flow. If you're really just after the real estate where the 
business is sitting, then the existing business operating from that real 
estate may just look like a nuisance that has to be dealt with.

You're coming at things from the cynical assumption that nobody's buying 
radio stations as ongoing businesses any longer. I don't believe that's 
the case.

> The FCC allows 'tolling" so that some "silent
> stations" have remained "off the air" or even unbuilt for over ten
> years.   KNGS FM, KAAX FM,  KZPE FM are just a few.  The sales of
> these stations is still pending review and even if not built, on the
> air or making money or serving the public in any way -- will bring
> about 5 million dollars.   

Apples and oranges. One of the stations you cite is an unbuilt 
noncommercial FM construction permit. One is an unbuilt commercial FM, 
and the other is a commercial FM that (as best I can piece it together 
from FCC filings) was on the air, then its owner died.

These are the radio equivalents of buying or selling empty, undeveloped 
lots - highly speculative, with values driven as much by emotion as 
anything else. In the case of one of the stations you cite, there 
appears to be a trail of legal actions stretching back quite a few 
years, which makes it more or less the equivalent of that abandoned 
building on the corner - "distressed property."

They're not representative of most of the tens of thousands of radio 
stations that are on the air, functioning as going businesses, and yes, 
serving the public.

> The rewards of being good local
> broadcasters -- no longer exist.   The FCC does not give gold stars
> nor is the stations value in a local market based soley on being a
> "good sport" and member of the local Eagles Lodge.  Stations are sold
> to big companies based not on sales -- but need to control the
> market.   Being a good broadcaster does NOT make any radio station
> worth more money.   Doing more does not bring in more cash.  Your
> idea of what radio is all about -- is dead.  It does NOT matter if
> you are good or bad.  You just have to have enough cash to buy the
> license.   And the value of a station is not based on sales or public
> service.   

Again, if what you say were true, those two identical class B signals 
for sale in the medium-sized market I mentioned would be offered at the 
same price. They're not. One will bring twice as much as the other when 
their sales close, and why is that? They are - to beat my metaphor to a 
bloody pulp - identical "properties," if you will, on opposite corners 
of the same street. Station A is worth twice as much as station B 
precisely because it DOES "do more" - it sells itself more effectively, 
it connects to its community in a way that draws listeners, which gives 
it better ratings, which in turn brings in not just local sales but also 
national agency buys.

If your theory that "doing more does not bring in more cash" had any 
validity at all, perhaps you can explain why anyone would bother 
programming a radio station at all. You seem to be arguing that a radio 
station is worth just as much if it programs dead air as it would be if 
it does the things that we identify "good broadcasters" as doing.

So why would KIRO, or WGN, or WBZ bother to maintain a news department 
in that case? Why would Z100 or KIIS-FM stage a huge annual concert for 
its listeners? Why does one of my local stations' websites have big 
promotions on the front page for three charity events it's sponsoring? 
Just throw on a 1 kHz tone and walk away...that won't change the value 
of the radio station, right?

> Most ads are not local buys any more.  Locals don't have
> the cash to buy spots in all but the smaller makets.   Just listen to
> any station in Seattle, LA or even Klamath Falls, Oregon.   How many
> owners are there in Klamath Falls ???  Not one does local spots. 

If you're determined to find vinegar in every bottle of wine you open, I 
guess that's what you'll find. I don't pretend to know what sort of bad 
experiences you've had as a "consultant and former owner," but your 
sour, cynical take on the broadcast business today certainly doesn't 
reflect what I see in my travels.

I've never been to Klamath Falls, but on the way to and from the IRCA 
convention last fall, I spent time in Eugene, Corvallis and Portland, 
not to mention most of the markets in Washington State.

The commercial stations I visited in those markets certainly had plenty 
of local spots in addition to national buys, and that was true in both 
tiny markets and big ones. The sales manager in Olympia who gave me a 
tour of his station said business was good. There were a lot of people 
sitting in cubicles marked "SALES" at the cluster I visited in Eugene, 
and they certainly seemed to be hard at work.

And I just looked up Klamath Falls both today and in my 1967 
Broadcasting Yearbook - the answer seems to be two clusters of 
commercial stations, plus one standalone commercial FM, against three 
individually-owned AM stations in the market 40 years ago. They're all 
listed as having sales managers. I can't imagine those people would have 
jobs if they're not selling any local spots. My goodness, if what you 
say were true, there are SIX people at the New Northwest Broadcasters 
cluster twiddling their thumbs doing nothing all day:

http://www.kladfm.com/articles/radio_advertising.shtml

(In fact, that particular Klamath Falls station's homepage even has what 
looks very much like a local advertiser right there on the bottom - or 
does "Eagle Hardwoods" not count somehow?)

Yes, times are changing. No radio station can do business in 2007 the 
same way it did in 1967. But that's true of ANY business today, not just 
radio. Everything has become more consolidated. Nothing's as local as it 
was back then. It's still a long way from that to your poisoned 
conclusion that radio as we knew it is dead. I'm glad most of the 
broadcasters I know don't feel that way, and I'm glad most of them are 
still out there being involved in their communities and building the 
value of their stations, not just sitting in front of a keyboard 
bitching and moaning about how "radio is dead."

End of sermon...

s
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