The Return of the Ottoman Empire? 

Thursday 05 February 2009
By Mshari Al-Zaydi

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The only way one can explain the heated return of “Ottoman” Turkey to the
Middle East quagmire is as the setting up of a suitable position for the
Turkish Fez in the new Middle East division.
This is what some Turkish intellects have argued according to Serkan
Taflioglu, a researcher of Middle East affairs at ASAM, the Center for
Eurasian Strategic Studies in Ankara. “Heated Turkish political movements
dealing with Middle East issues, which have increased over the past few
months, are based on the Turkish belief that the future of developments in
the Middle East will depend, to a large extent, on the kind of relationship
that exists between Iran and the US over the next couple of years,” said
Taflioglu. Moreover, he indicated that Turkey’s deep involvement is
motivated by Ankara’s desire to assume its natural role in the region in
accordance with its power and interests. But as Turkish Prime Minister
Tayyip Recep Erdogan speaks about the children in Gaza who are being
slaughtered, we know that feelings alone are not the driving force behind
political activity.
Turkey is now turning towards its Ottoman past after neglecting it for so
long; not in order to restore its former glories as some naïve and nostalgic
supporters of Islamic parties might believe, but rather to establish an
effective presence for the Turkish state that suits its historical,
political and economic significance in the region. 
Iran ventured into Arab affairs at an early stage, ever since the Khomeini
revolution. This revolutionary fervor died down for a while due to the
outbreak of war between the Khomeini state and the Baath state of Iraq. That
was followed by the Rafsanjani and Khatami eras, before blatant Iranian
penetration of Arab issues such as Palestine and Lebanon began to take place
during the reign of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Iran’s role in the region
increased and the Arabs could not keep up with Iran’s craftiness and
Tehran’s skillful political maneuvering.
Turkey noticed how Iran’s early involvement in Iraq had achieved gains for
it on the ground and how that had created a central political power that was
so firmly linked to Iran. In other words, Iran’s bold venture into Iraqi
affairs forced the US and the Arabs to acknowledge its role in the region.
Iran continued to follow this approach in Lebanon and Palestine and today we
are seeing the results: Hezbollah’s indirect rule over Lebanon by virtue of
Iranian backing and a similar situation in the Palestinian territories.
Furthermore, we know nothing about other Iranian schemes in the Gulf region,
Yemen or North Africa.
The game proved to be a real advantage to Iran, so it decided to liquefy its
old political investments in Lebanon and Palestine as the world watched the
inauguration of the new US administration, which says that it is different
to the former Bush administration and that it is willing to listen to
everyone without imposing America’s visions upon others.
Like Iran, Turkey has an imperialistic past in our region. The only empire
that contended with Ottoman Turkey over power in the region was Safavid
Iran. Ferocious battles took place in the ruthless confrontation between the
Ottomans and the Safavids, and Iraq itself was one of their battlefields.
Baghdad fell under the rule of the Safavid Persian Shah and then would be
conquered by the Ottoman Turkish Sultan. Much of the vehement sectarianism
that we witness today is a product of that ancient and fierce imperialistic
conflict between Iran and Turkey, or the Safavids and the Ottomans, or the
Sunnis and the Shia. In the end however, it was a confrontation in which the
Arabs did not play a fundamental role; they were marginal to the situation. 
The Arab masses have demonstrated support for Erdogan and it is most likely
that they are the same people who live on Muslim Brotherhood dogmas or those
who have been impressed by them. This support increases whenever the public
remembers that Erdogan reminded Israel that he is a descendant of the
Ottomans. When we hear this, our minds run wild and we conjure up the image
of Mehmet II the Conqueror returning to the gates of Tel Aviv and the return
of the Ottoman Sultan. We imagine that Erdogan has awoken Turkey from its
deep sleep and hoisted the flag of the Ottomans once again. All these
dreams, which our fellow citizens in our Arab countries use to heal their
wounds, do not necessarily represent the objectives of Turkey, the NATO
member state, which is pushing to be part of the European Union. These
dreams do not necessarily represent the secular state that is ruled by
regulations of a strict secular constitution and guarded by generals who see
themselves as the guardians of the Ataturk structure.
The intensity of support for Erdogan, the new Ottoman Sultan, reached its
peak after the incident that took place at the Davos Economic Forum when he
addressed the Israeli President Shimon Peres and walked out of the session
in a dignified manner, returning to Istanbul as a conqueror. Such support of
course is supposed to have some kind of effect on the “weak” Arabs so that
they may take a stand just like Erdogan.
The truth is that Erdogan did not adopt an actual stance that could count as
a political measure. He took a stand that would be popular with the masses.
To take a real stand would result in achieving concrete political, military
and security gains on the ground; embodied in agreements through acts of
negotiation. This is what is happening at present in Cairo between Hamas and
Israel through Egyptian mediation, which could also pave the way for
inter-Palestinian reconciliation under the sponsorship of Egypt. However, it
is difficult to imagine reconciliation whilst Hamas relies heavily upon the
Syrian-Iranian camp.
Speaking of Syria, the interview that President Bashar al Assad gave to Al
Manar television was an important interview that followed the Kuwait Summit
where there was a reconciliatory atmosphere initiated by Saudi King Abdullah
Bin Abdulaziz during the summit itself. But the King’s initiative was not
well-received; in the interview, President al Assad stressed the importance
of Syrian-Turkish ties as well as the importance of Syrian-Iranian ties. 


Are we facing a semi-objective coalition in the region at the expense of all
Arab countries (except Syria) that consists of Iran, Turkey, Syria and
Israel, all struggling to control war and peace? Iran is aggravating the
issue so as to further strengthen its position and force the USA, the
international community and the Arabs in the region not to make it give up
the power that it has gained.
Turkey, which woke up recently, wants to partake in the power struggle,
according to Serkan Taflioglu who said that Turkey is busy trying to
understand the new agreement in the region whereas Israel, as usual, wants
to maintain its power in the region. As for Syria, it believes that the
smart thing to do would be to abandon the Arab ship and seek shelter in Iran
or Turkey to protect it from the region’s flooding waters. 
Turkey believes that it is more capable than Iran to deal with the issues of
Palestine and Lebanon firstly because it is also a predominantly Sunni
country and secondly because of its nostalgia for the Ottoman state. Such
longing is continually backed by the Muslim Brotherhood and some
fundamentalist parties. However, this longing does not exist amongst
nationalist movements or the Levant Arabs, or perhaps the Salafists of the
Arab Peninsula who do not have fond memories of the Turkish Ottoman
oppression. 
The Muslim Brotherhood says that the collapse of the Ottoman Caliphate in
Turkey is one of the reasons that it exists (Saad Hawi, a Syrian Muslim
Brotherhood figure, in his book entitled ‘Hedi Tajribati wa Hedi Shahadati’,
p37). 


Because of long-standing nostalgia, the ailment of political legitimacy that
they believe has been absent since the fall of the Ottoman Caliphate, the
antagonism with Arab countries, and Iran’s attack on Arab countries that
oppose the radical Iranian bloc, we now see the Brotherhood exaggerating its
praise of Erdogan after it failed to publicize Khamanei and Ahmadinejad in
the Arab world because of the sensitive issue of sectarianism, which is a
fundamental part of the ailing culture in the region. 
Nevertheless, we must admit that Turkey is different to Iran; it is not a
fundamentalist state. This is why the Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan
sought to remind everyone of Turkey’s secularism with the demand that Hamas
becomes a pure political movement if it wants Turkey’s support. These all
are messages to the West in order to maintain its trust.


“Turkey is a NATO ally and will not cut ties with Israel,” which would be
reckless according to Babacan. But Erdogan is taking such action so as to
activate Turkey’s new role. Israel will not be harmed by this. Peres had a
friendly chat with Erdogan soon after the “Davos incident” during which the
two men reiterated the friendly relations between Turkey and Israel. 
Nobody would disagree with Erdogan’s comments on the children of Gaza
because what happened in the Gaza Strip was an awful crime. But it seems
that his comments had also provoked those suffering from the anger of the
Turks such as the Turkish Kurds who need Erdogan to show more humanity
towards them. Emine Ayna, Co-Chairperson of the Democratic Society Party was
quoted saying, “Erdogan also knows how to kill, and the only nation that can
say to Peres that he knows well how to kill children and women is the
Kurdish nation because it is being killed by bombs,” according to the
Lebanese As-Safir Newspaper. 


The question remains however; where do the Arab countries fit in to this
political bazaar that is now being set up?

 

 

Wallahu’alam

/agung


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