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https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/MATH-372?page=com.atlassian.jira.plugin.system.issuetabpanels:comment-tabpanel&focusedCommentId=12873728#action_12873728
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Matt Price commented on MATH-372:
---------------------------------

Luc,

Thanks for your help.  I changed the sign for this example it converges 
beautifully.  I'll test this fix with a few more scenarios that gave me 
trouble. 

I really appreciate the help.  This issue was going to be a show stopper and I 
couldn't be happier that the problem is on my end.  Makes me want to contribute 
some money to Apache :)

Thanks,
Matt

> Curve fitting appears unreliable
> --------------------------------
>
>                 Key: MATH-372
>                 URL: https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/MATH-372
>             Project: Commons Math
>          Issue Type: Bug
>    Affects Versions: 2.1
>         Environment: Win7 x64, Netbeans, JDK 1.6.0.18
>            Reporter: Matt Price
>         Attachments: CurveFitterDebug.java, CurveFitting.ods
>
>   Original Estimate: 8h
>  Remaining Estimate: 8h
>
> I've been trying to find a good curve fitting library for Java for the last 
> couple of weeks.  I came across Apache Commons Math and was really excited 
> because I like all things Apache.  The curve fitting API looks good and is 
> fairly easy to use, however, it doesn't seem to be as accurate as it 
> should/could be.
> I've produced some code and data that shows that the initial parameter 
> guesses affect the results too much.  Guess low and the curve ends up low, 
> guess high and the curve ends up high.  I wish I had a stronger 
> statistics/math background to make more sense of this.  I've tried playing 
> with the optimizer's options (costRelativeToTolerance, 
> initialStepBoundFactor, maxEvaluations, maxIterations, orthTolerance and 
> parRelativeTolerance) but nothing seems to improve the end result.
> I've attached the spreadsheet and Java code.  FYI, in the spreadsheet you'll 
> see an entry in the chart for DataFitX.  It is a COM library used in my 
> company's current software that needs to be replaced.
> Any help on this would be greatly appreciated.  If you need more info, let me 
> know and I'll supply it as quickly as I can.
> Thanks,
> Matt

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