Joshua Marinacci wrote:
>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>
>>> While it is a simplification, I think it holds a truism.  With clever  
>>> use of brand building over a very long period of time colas are not a  
>>> commodity market the way that, say, sugar and flour are, even though  
>>> it easily could be.
>>>
>> This says it quicker (and better) than I could.
>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barriers_to_entry#cite_note-about-0
>
> Indeed. My point is that in Colas they have created a barrier to entry 
> through branding, product innovation (somewhat), and creative product 
> placement, not through patents or having non-reproducible technology. 
>  Is this something that computer companies (other than Apple) can do? 
> Or are they simply destined to be indistinguishable and therefore 
> profit margins will eventually erode to a tiny bit above zero?

Numbers for market share 2008 (US only as far as I can tell).

   1. HP 20.8%
   2. Dell 15.1%
   3. Acer 14.6%
   4. Toshiba 9.3%
   5. Lenovo 7.5%
   6. Fujitsu-Siemens 5.2%
   7. Apple 4.6%
   8. Asus 4.3%
   9. Sony 4.2%
  10. Others 14.5%


According to the NDP US market share in first quarter of 2008 was 13.8% 
Apple. They also state that Apple essentially owns the above $1000 
market accounting for 66% of all high end sales in the first quarter of 
2008.

I found a lot of older reports that suggest HP and Dell have pretty much 
dominated the market with both companies at the top of the heap at one 
time or another. Acer has been steadily growing. So with a little hand 
waving here (not actually counting the number of models at various price 
points), HP/Dell both push many more models than any of the others in 
the list (except maybe Others ;-)). So this chart seems to suggest that 
computer manufacturers offer something akin to breakfast cereal. If you 
want greater market share, you offer more types of the same thing at 
different price points. I think you can thank/blame MS for the 
homogenization in this market. If you want to ship with Windows, you 
need to build to the MS specification. Even machines shipped with Linux 
are built to the MS specification. This makes it very difficult to 
differentiate so one can only sell on price. The only company on the 
list that won't build to that specification is (of course) Apple. I 
would guess that their 7th place ranking is higher than their limited 
number of laptop offerings would give them in a perfectly balanced 
cereal market.

 From a world perspective (and I'm happy for help here) I believe that 
the best branded companies in the list are; HP and Sony. While HP has 
been able to cash in on the strong branding, Sony doesn't seem to have 
been able to. IMHO, the reason is quite simple, Sony is trying to sell 
into Apple's market but with hardware/OS that puts it into firmly 
HP/Dells market. So it's a more expensive brand of Corn Flakes. At the 
end of the day, a Mac may still be Corn Flakes but because it hasn't 
been so homogenized by needing to follow the crowd, it's like puffy Corn 
Flakes or something else that separates its or makes it seem different. 
I would suggest that as long as a single company gets to dictate what 
machines need to look like, it will be very difficult for companies to  
strongly differentiate.

Kirk

http://www.digitalburn.com/index.php/2008/06/10/hp-dell-rule-notebook-market-for-q1-2008/


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