I see it as opportunity for proprietary technologies like silverlight
or javafx to serve as fallback mode for browsers not supporting the
video tag/codec.

It is very easy to implement and you don't have to transcode to a
different format:
http://michael-bien.com/mbien/entry/using_applets_as_fallback_mode
(this is only a sample, the security dialog would not appear if e.g
javafx was used... but javafx apparently does not support ogg too)

wikipedia for example already does that, it uses <video> in many
places.

regards,
michael

On Jul 4, 4:20 pm, Karsten Silz <[email protected]> wrote:
> Hi,
>
> Some people thought that the upcoming HTLM 5 with standard audio and
> video tags would spell the end of Flash (and Silverlight and JavaFX).
> I never thought it would because these plug-ins offer much more than
> just video and audio.
>
> However, it seems now that there will be no standard audio and video
> codecs in HTML 5, which means that unless a de-facto standard emerges
> somewhere down the line, Flash with H.264 video will continue to
> deliver video to the browser masses.  For more details, 
> see:http://tech.slashdot.org/story/09/07/02/184251/Browser-Vendors-Force-...
>
> In somewhat related news, XHTML 2 seems to have been canceled, making
> HTML 5 the only new HTML version going 
> forward:http://tech.slashdot.org/story/09/07/03/1447237/XHTML-2-Cancelled
>
> ---
> Karsten Silz
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