Secondly, in my case I optimized some sample strategies but they were
> really quiet during all the past year, weeks and months passed with 0
> trades..
>


Same thing for me. All the sample strategies (and the real ones that I
trade) have the same premise: enter the trade when the order book is
extremely out of balance, and exit the trade when the balance returns to
normal range. In 2012 (and 2013 so far), there were not that
many occurrences to enter the trade, compared to 2011. I am not sure what
that means. I could be simply because the volatility is low, or it could be
that the irregularities in the ES order book have dissipated due to more
efficient trading. It's tempting to adjust the sensitivity threshold lower
to trigger the trades when less "stretching" occurs in the balance, so that
more trades are generated, but if the market returns to the 2011 mode, this
would mean losses. So, I'm just patiently waiting, and yes, it may mean
weeks and sometimes months without taking a trade.

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