Sudan’s economic uncertainty grows ahead of secession
Article Comments (0)  Email PrintSave
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

June 15, 2011 (KHARTOUM) – The Sudanese government announced that it
has crafted an economic plan to weather the effects of the separation
of the oil-rich south next month.


Sudan’s Finance Minister Ali Mahmood Hassanein speaks during a news
conference in Khartoum June 14, 2011 (Reuters) The people of South
Sudan voted last January almost unanimously to split from the
Arab-Muslim dominated North but the new state becomes official only at
the end of the interim period next July.

A number of key issues remain outstanding however, particularly the
post-secession sharing formula for the oil wealth that is stationed
mostly in the South.

The Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) states that the North and
South shall equally split the revenue from oil exports during the six
years following the signing of the accord.

While most of Sudan’s proven daily output of 500,000 oil barrel is
extracted from oilfields in the south, the pipelines infrastructure
and refineries are based in the north. The South will therefore be
required to pay a fee to transport its oil and ship it abroad from
Port Sudan terminal.

The minister of finance and national economy Ali Mahmood Hassanein in
an address before the national assembly said that 73% of the country’s
oil lies in the South, 26% in the North and 1% in the contested region
of Abyei.

Speaking to reporters afterwards the Sudanese official unveiled a
3-year plan that will emphasize maintaining the economic gains
achieved so far, balancing revenue and expenditure, stabilizing
macroeconomic demand and supply through increased production of
strategic goods and combating factors that contribute to lower
standards of living.

Furthermore, Khartoum will press ahead with restructuring the
government and curtailing federal spending, Earlier this year an
austerity package was passed that partially removed subsidies on
petroleum products and sugar. It also reduced allowances and salaries
for government officials.

Hassanein said that the North will lose a third of its income and will
see lower inflows of hard currency.

"Sudan will lose 36.5 percent of its income from July 9 because this
is the percentage of oil revenue that the government gets from the oil
produced in the south," he said.

However he said that the North will compensate for the loss through
expanding tax umbrella, oil infrastructure it has, attracting foreign
investments, developing talents and reducing unemployment rate.

He gave an example of gold production which generated $1.2 billion to
the state so far.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in a report released last April
said that the North "will need to adjust to a permanent shock"
particularly given the limited access to external financing. Sudan is
under comprehensive economic sanctions since 1997.

In a related issue, the top finance official in the country disclosed
that they have sent a letter to the South informing them that they
will close the oil pipelines unless a deal is reached on fees for
transporting the crude.

"We have sent a letter to south Sudan, to inform them that they cannot
use the pipelines or the refinery or the [Red Sea] port after July 9
unless we reach a deal about the price of renting this
infrastructure," Hassanein said.

The New York Times (NYT) say that much of Sudan’s oil is so thick that
the pipelines could get clogged, causing hundreds of millions of
dollars in damage, if the flow of oil is suddenly stopped.

(ST)

-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "JFD 
info" group.
To post to this group, send email to [email protected].
To unsubscribe from this group, send email to 
[email protected].
For more options, visit this group at 
http://groups.google.com/group/jfdinfo?hl=en.

Reply via email to