---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: John Ashworth <[email protected]>
Date: Wed, Jul 13, 2011 at 12:35 PM
Subject: [sudan-john-ashworth] Fw: South Kordofan and Blue Nile conflicts
To: Group <[email protected]>


The conflict in South Kordofan continues, even if it is not so much in
the news these days. I have just this minute talked to three Nuba,
including one very old friend, who found their way separately to Juba
with firsthand news of Kauda, Kadugli and Dilling. All confirm that
the targeting of Nuba and suspected SPLM sympathisers is continuing.
These days it is Arab militia rather than government forces which are
searching vehicles and removing people on the road between the Nuba
Mountains and El Obeid. Security forces in El Obeid continue to search
for "SPLM sympathisers" and anyone who has come from the conflict
area, and Nuba report that they don't even feel safe in Khartoum.
There is still a feeling that educated people are being singled out.
There are restrictions on Nuba returning to El Obeid from Khartoum.
Those who remain in El Obeid are lacking humanitarian services. A
small but steady trickle of Nuba is arriving in Juba as refugees (and
note that they are now refugees rather than IDPs, having crossed an
international border); as yet, it seems that no agency is taking care
of their needs.

Fighting continues around Dilling and Kadugli, with SPLA apparently
holding its own and even capturing new areas. SPLA remains confident
militarily. Dilling and Kadugli towns have been looted and badly
damaged by Khartoum's security forces and militia. Many houses
belonging to Nuba have been occupied or destroyed and all their
property stolen.

Civilians within the SPLA-controlled areas are being bombed regularly
by their government; one informant said there was only one day in the
last month when he heard no bombing. The jets come early in the
morning, bomb Kauda airstrip, then bomb the nearby mountains. They are
followed later by the Antonovs, which loiter and drop more bombs.
People flee up into the mountains early each morning and only come
back to their villages late in the evening, for fear of the random
bombing. This is disrupting life; children cannot go to school and,
more urgently, people cannot plant crops. Recently the Antonov has
also been heard at night, causing new trauma. The plea we hear all the
time from Nuba people is for the international community to stop the
aerial bombing; if that is done, many Nuba feel that they can cope
with the rest. A military no-fly zone may not be practical, but it is
certainly the dream of the people on the ground.

Governor Malik Agar has trod a lonely and heroic path to try and
maintain peace in Blue Nile while negotiating the "Two Areas
Agreement" which was immediately renounced by President Omar al
Bashir. Malik's warning of a return to war in Blue Nile should be
taken very seriously. I will leave others to analyse the dynamics
within NCP which make war on two (and if Blue Nile erupts, three)
fronts seem like an attractive option. Darfur was already at war.
Southern Kordofan may have been a miscalculation, with Khartoum not
realising the military strength of the Nuba SPLA, nor that they were
wiling and able to operate independently of Juba (a mistake which the
international community continues to make when it links this
indigenous northern civil war to the south). Will NCP deliberately
choose to open a third front in Blue Nile?

John

BEGIN

1. Blue Nile governor warns resumption of war in Sudan

By Ngor Arol Garang

July 11, 2011 (JUBA) - The governor of Blue Nile State warned Sunday
of a resumption of war in Sudan if Khartoum attempts to forcibly
disarm former members of the Sudan People’s Liberation Army in his
state.

Malik Agar head of the Northern branch of the Sudan People’s
Liberation Movement - the ruling party of South Sudan - also warned
North Sudan’s ruling party against reneging on the agreement recently
signed in Ethiopia.

Since June 6 the SPLM’s Northern Sector (SPLMN) have been fighting the
Sudanese army after they attempted to disarm them, the opposition
group say. Khartoum claims the fighting started after SPLMN forces
attacked and occupied a local police station.

After the outbreak of fighting in South Kordofan there has been
increased focus on Blue Nile state to see if conflict would start
there as well. Both states joined South Sudan’s SPLM fighting Khartoum
in Sudan’s second North-South civil war (1983-2005) and despite being
in the North were granted special status under the peace deal that
ended the conflict.

In the week before South Sudan officially became independent from
North Sudan on July 9 the SPLM signed an accord with Sudan’s ruling
National Congress Party (NCP) in Addis Ababa setting the groundwork
for ceasefire and political arrangements in South Kordofan and Blue
Nile. However, the deal collapsed after strong opposition by hard-line
circles within the NCP.

Agar told the press in South Sudan’s new capital Juba on Sunday that
the situation in the two areas could result in a return to war if the
parties fail to address their differences amicably.

Blue Nile’s governor said that the remaining aspects of the 2005
Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) had to be implemented. Under the
deal that granted the South the right to secede, popular consultations
were due to be held in both areas to determine their future
relationship with Khartoum and whether the CPA addressed their
grievances.

Due to delayed elections, which the NCP won, in South Kordofan the
consultation process has not begun - in Blue Nile they are only half
complete.

Both sides said they would only accept the result if they won. The
SPLM complained that the vote was rigged although the election was
endorsed by all local and international observers.

Agar said that the consultations were also supposed to resolve future
of Northern SPLA soldiers, which the Khartoum says are now part of a
foreign army now the South has seceded.

“The other issue within the popular consultation was that the
government was supposed to address the issue of the two forces. We
have over 55,000 forces which were part and parcel of the SPLA and
they are sons and daughters of the two areas plus may be 9,000 not
necessarily from the two other areas."

He repeated the SPLA’s claim that it was the attempt of the Sudan
Armed Forces to disarm the SPLA that led to the conflict in South
Kordofan that has displaced 75,000 people according to UN figures.

"The government of Sudan, especially the president issued an order
through chief of staff to disarm these forces and when the general in
Kadugli wanted to implement this order, the whole thing went into
force military confrontation in South Kordofan”.

Blue Nile’s governor said that violence could "spillover" into his
state if the Northern military attempt to disarm his forces.

"There will be resistance [to disarmament] and then there is going to
be war in the two areas and possibly in the whole of Sudan. So the
whole thing is a political aspiration of the people. Because these
combatants were product of rebellion that had a cause, so the use of
military is not the solution. It is an alarm to achieve political
issues.”

The governor said that Khartoum should implement the Addis Ababa
framework agreement if they want peace and stability in Sudan. He has
previously warned that failure to do so would mean opening up a
hostile front from the border with Ethiopia all the way to Darfur,
where various rebel groups continue to fight the government.

The talks, which involved the African Union, United Nations and
Ethiopian government covered wealth and power sharing as well as
constitutional arrangements, rights and diversity and governance,
according to Agar.

Shortly before South Sudan’s independence the AU panel focusing on
Sudan informed Agar and the SPLM the Sudan’s president Omar Hassan
Al-Bashir had "reservations" with the deal.

Agar again repeated that if the agreement was not implemented there
was a risk of return to war in North Sudan.

"Our position remains with the agreement because this is the agreement
which we signed with them. The other option is war if he does not need
peace", said senior member of the former rebel movement.

(ST)

END1

2. Sudan: UN reports ongoing heavy bombardment in Southern Kordofan

UN News Centre 12 July 2011 –

The situation in Sudan’s Southern Kordofan state has remained
unpredictable with heavy bombardment continuing in and around the main
town, Kadugli, and in a second one to the north-east, the United
Nations humanitarian office reported today.

The ongoing bombing of Delami town had caused the displacement of more
than 2,000 people, Elisabeth Byrs, spokesperson for the UN Office for
the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), told reporters in
Geneva.

According to the Sudanese Government’s Humanitarian Aid Commission,
the number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Southern Kordofan
has decreased significantly from 73,000, but Ms. Byrs said OCHA had no
information on how many people remained displaced.

Preliminary results of an assessment undertaken in Kadugli town
indicated that the most urgent humanitarian needs are food, water,
medical services and shelter for those displaced. Aid workers have
also reported that key access roads and bridges require immediate
repair, and that mine clearance is critical.

Ms. Byrs also said that the $620 million appeal for humanitarian
operations in South Sudan – which became an independent nation on
Saturday – is only 34 per cent funded. The appeal will be revised on
20 July.

Troops from Sudan have in recent weeks clashed with armed groups
aligned with South Sudan in South Kordofan, sparking a humanitarian
crisis as thousands of people fled from the fighting in and around the
town of Kadugli.

The Governments of Sudan and South Sudan signed an agreement in
Ethiopia on 28 June on border security and a joint political and
security arrangement for Southern Kordofan.

http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=39017&Cr=southern+kordofan&Cr1=sudan

END2

3. Children with horrific wounds pay price of Sudan's bloody war

By Daniel Howden in the Nuba Mountains
 The Independent
Wednesday, 13 July 2011

When boys and girls started arriving at his hospital with missing arms
and feet, they were the first casualties of war Dr Tom Catena had
seen.

"The injuries are horrifying," said the mission doctor who comes from
upstate New York, "a girl with her feet blown off, another with her
abdomen sliced open."

The victims pouring in from the villages in Sudan's Nuba mountains
were being bombed by their own government, he discovered. Grass thatch
villages were being turned to charnel houses as an air force dropped
bombs from the back of ageing cargo planes. The government in Khartoum
insists it is targeting armed rebels but the Antonovs it is using are
non-military aircraft and are randomly destructive.

"The worst injuries are from the Antonovs," said Dr Catena. "This is
my first experience of war and you don't understand the human toll
until you see it. "These people are being destroyed for nothing." The
only qualified doctor in an area with hundreds of thousands people,
the mission hospital has about 400 patients.

The doctor who arrived recently from mission work in Kenya said he was
nervous at first about speaking out as hospitals were targets. "Why
hold back?" he asked. "We should show what's happening, this is the
reality."

Yussef Abdullahi Kuwa reached the hospital in the north of the Kauda
Valley on Sunday. The 15-year-old was playing iwhen the bomb hit. He
was unable to take cover fast enough and now half his face is missing
where hot metal sliced through it. He cannot speak.

"My boy has done nothing to this government," said his father, who
took three days to get him to a doctor. "We are powerless." Children
with stumps where their hands or feet should be wander around in the
hospital. Sixteen-year-old Jakumo lost his left arm after helping his
sister with the washing. The children had been told to lie flat when
they heard planes but Jakumo forgot. "I tried to hide behind a tree
instead," he said. "But it hit me."

The UN Security Council announced yesterday that all its peacekeepers
were being withdrawn from Sudan's southern border areas by the end of
next month. Sudan's President Omar al-Bashir, who is wanted at The
Hague for war crimes, also threatened to expel aid agencies in
Southern Kordofan state where the fighting is taking place.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/africa/children-with-horrific-wounds-pay-price-of-sudans-bloody-war-2312664.html

END3

4. Bashir delineates Sudan’s “second republic”, promises reforms

July 12, 2011 (KHARTOUM) – Sudan’s president, Omer Hassan al-Bashir,
has outlined the features of his country’s “second republic,”
promising political reforms.

In an address before the country’s parliament on Tuesday, following
his country’s break-up after South Sudan declared independence on
Saturday, Bashir reaffirmed commitment to establishing amicable ties
with the new southern state.

“Today I confirm before you what I had announced in Juba, that our
relations with the budding southern state will be made-up of honoring
agreements and the serious pursuit of consolidating stability and
construction of positive and distinguished neighborly relations driven
by mutual interest and preservation of deeply-entrenched social
relationship between us and our brothers in the south,” Bashir said.

South Sudan officially split and formed its own state in line with the
outcome of the region’s referendum, a vote promised under the 2005’s
Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) which halted nearly half a century
of intermittent civil wars with the south.

The Sudanese president reiterated his government’s commitment to
thrashing out unfinished business with the south, in reference to
post-independence arrangements which include, among other things,
sharing of oil revenues.

“In the same spirit with which we implemented all provisions of the
deal [CPA], we shall take on the pending and outstanding issues
despite their sensitivity,” Bashir told the country’s highest
legislative authority.

The Sudanese leader did not omit to address the volatile security
situation in the country’s South Kordofan and Blue Nile states, two
flashpoint regions straddling the borders with South Sudan.

Bashir announced that his government would continue
“highly-concentrated development programs” in the two states which
were devastated by fierce battles during the second Sudanese civil war
1983-2004 as their population largely sided with the South.

He further announced that his government would extend the deadline of
the popular consultation process in the two states, a CPA-mandated
mechanism to ascertain local views on the implementation of that
agreement and how governance relationship with Khartoum should be
re-organized.

“We are working to finalize the process of the popular consultation
endorsed by your assembly last year,” Bashir told parliamentarians.

“I shall not forget to mention that we are in the process of amending
the popular consultation law in order to extend the deadline
stipulated by the law,” Al-Bashir said in reference to the fact that
the popular consultations’ mandate had already expired with the CPA on
July 9.

“I assure people of South Kordofan that we are keen to widen the range
of fair political participation for them and enable them to handle
their own affairs,” he added.

South Kordofan is currently in a state of war after the northern army
clashed with forces aligned with South Sudan. The fighting escalated
into artillery and aerial bombardment carried out by the north’s Sudan
Armed Forces, leading to the killing of hundreds and displacement of
more than 70,000 people, according to UN figures.

(ST)

END4
______________________
John Ashworth

Sudan Advisor

[email protected]

+254 725 926 297 (Kenya mobile)
+249 919 695 362 (Sudan mobile)
+27 82 853 3556 (South Africa mobile)
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PO Box 52002 - 00200, Nairobi, Kenya

This is a personal e-mail address and the contents do not necessarily
reflect the views of any organisation

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