South Sudan’s Tryst with Destiny
July 19, 2011

>From the ashes of war, pestilence, and destruction has arisen a
phoenix of a nation – the Republic of South Sudan, the 193rd member of
the United Nations. May it prosper and grow into a model state rooted
in peace, tolerance and freedom. As I listened to President Salva Kiir
Mayardit’s eloquent oration on July 9, I was reminded of another
historic oration, delivered some three score and four years ago…
Considered to be one of the greatest speeches of all time, Jawaharlal
Nehru’s landmark oration, ‘Tryst with Destiny’ captured the essence of
the triumphant culmination of the hundred-year non-violent freedom
struggle against the British Empire in India. Salva Kiir’s speech
recounted the more than half a century of violent struggle that led to
South Sudan’s independence, honouring the 2 million who laid down
their lives to throw off the yoke of tyranny and injustice.

Both Jawaharlal Nehru and Salva Kiir delivered their speeches in
English, an alien tongue incomprehensible to more than 99 percent of
their fellow citizens; in both instances, the assembled masses across
their new nations listened to the orations with reverence and rapt
attention. Freedom transcends all barriers, even barriers of language
and communication. But millions of Indians that were listening to the
great man did not  know what identity they would have the next day ,
especially those living close to the yet undefined border between the
two new British dominions.

Likewise, the million or more Southern Sudanese  left in the North and
along an undefined north -south border must be wondering about their
fate after listening to their leader in South Sudan.

The division of Sudan in 2011, given its vast panorama of ethnic,
linguistic and cultural diversity, has some similarities with the
division of India in 1947. The land area and population of South Sudan
-compared to the undivided Sudan, has a similar ratio to that of
Pakistan (of 1947) compared to the undivided British India.  The
unresolved issues between the successor states are also similar – lack
of a fully demarcated border, a disputed region (Kashmir vs. Abyei,
each with its UN monitoring mission), undetermined rights of
citizenship, abode, and travel of nationals of one country remaining
voluntarily or stranded in the other country, unresolved division of
assets (including the pensions and benefits of Southern Sudanese civil
servants and soldiers who had served in undivided Sudan), and so on.

Moreover, the successor states are armed to the teeth, ready to go
into battle at any provocation. On the human development front, the
indicators for South Sudan – especially literacy and health outcomes –
are not too far from those of 1947 Pakistan. At the political level,
the National Congress Party of Sudan bears the primary responsibility
for the vivisection of Sudan, just as historical evidence is beginning
to reveal that the Indian Congress Party arguably had a bigger
responsibility in the division of the Indian Sub-Continent. Pakistan’s
Jinnah and South Sudan’s Garang were proponents of unity, and
considered secession as a measure of last resort, when their demand
for equal and fair representation within a federal structure was
thwarted by the majority party.

Despite the vision charted by Nehru in his ‘Tryst with Destiny’, the
division of India was followed by mayhem of unprecedented proportions:
displacement of 10 million people, a million dead, ethnic cleansing,
and a hot war over Kashmir. The aftermath of those events has
reverberated over the subsequent six and a half decades; peace and
coexistence between the successor states remain a distant prospect.
South Sudan must ward against such an outcome.

What can South Sudan do to avert a future that might resemble the
outcomes in the Indian Sub-Continent?

South Sudan today is faced with risks to its sovereignty and
well-being similar to those faced by Pakistan in 1947. But there are
lessons from Pakistan’s troubled and unstable history that have a lot
of relevance for South Sudan. The first and foremost lesson is that a
nation’s strength does not derive from its military size and prowess,
but stems from its economic strength. South Sudan will do well to rein
in the powers of SPLA and make it fully accountable to a
democratically-elected civilian leadership. Independence of judiciary
should remain an unshakable pillar of the country’s constitution,
civilian law enforcement strengthened, and the military’s role
confined to countenance external threats.

Secondly, South Sudan must respect and fully accommodate its ethnic
and cultural diversity, make federalism and devolution of
administrative and legislative powers to states, counties, bomas,
payams, and villages as the cornerstone of governance, and ensure that
the bulk of oil revenues is distributed equitably and fairly, by law,
among the various levels of government and jurisdictions to avoid a
sense of relative deprivation. The growing regional disparities
(especially the economic prosperity in Juba relative to the rest of
the country) need to be addressed urgently to forestall any
secessionist tendencies.

Thirdly, the refugees from the North must be fully integrated into the
South Sudanese mainstream, compensated for losses suffered, treated
with equality and respect, and not allowed to become a disgruntled
underclass in their own homeland. They bring a lot of talent and
skills that South Sudan needs desperately.

Fourthly, it must focus all its energies on internal security, human
development, social protection, and basic infrastructure (particularly
roads) to create a geographically integrated and governable country.
Fifthly, it must not deny its past and its common culture, history,
and language with its northern neighbour – it is only shades of black
that differentiate the various nationalities of Sudan – branding all
northern Sudanese as Arabs is like calling all Brazilians, Portuguese,
and all Spanish-speaking  Latin Americans, Spanish, or for that matter
calling all South Sudanese, Christians.

There is no greater denial of identity than the denial of history.
Maintaining Arabic as a second language will not diminish South
Sudan’s secular status but will provide it unrivalled access to the
Arab world stretching from Morocco to Oman.  Lastly, South Sudan must
avoid becoming a pawn in global ideological rivalries and retain good
and amicable relations with all its neighbours and its distant
benefactors.

Had Pakistan adopted a similar agenda soon after its creation, it just
might have avoided its current predicament.

By Asif Faiz

Consultant/Adviser; served as World Bank’s  Country Manager for Sudan
in Khartoum ( 2005-2008).

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