On 8 May 2002 at 12:57, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

> Hiya Brenda,
> 
> Glad to see your posts again! Question for you, since you're so
> closely involved with the music biz: I read in the RS that the #1
> selling CD sold a lot of its units because the label was offering $2
> rebates to the dealers, and the dealers in turn dropped their pricing
> to $8.99 or so, and in turn sold a lot of units.
> 
> Do you see this as a trend? I've been encouraged to see some new
> releases (Joe Henry, John Mayer and some others) at a $7.99 or so
> price tag. I know the CD business is ailing and just wonder if the
> prices for CD's are going to FINALLY start to lower a bit to generate
> traffic & sales. Whaddya think?
> 

In the mid-90's major labels started doing "breaking artist" campaigns.  New releases 
were generally priced in the $8 - $9.99 range.  The campaigns were generally 
executed in specific markets and in indie stores and chains like Tower and Virgin.  It 
was very specific to new artists because no one wanted to open the flood gate that 
was put up by MAP (minimum advertisted price - a policy that was intended to keep 
indie retailers from being put out of business by the big box sellers like Best Buy, 
Circuit City, etc. who were using music as a loss leader.)

I think you are seeing the lower prices across the board because MAP doesn't exist 
anymore.  And everyone is fighting for chart position, so the campaigns at retail are 
getting more competitive.  By offering the $2 rebate, the label not only insured a 
lower, 
more attractive price, but also got retailers to take more copies, which influenced 
the 
positioning of the record in the store.  (The retailer will put the CD's in a prime 
location 
so they can move the units.)

I think the trend is that music is going to sell at a market rate driven by volume and 
there will be a wider range in prices.  Hot pop, hip hop and country artists that ship 
a 
lot of units and new artists that gain momentum will be under $10, while evergreens 
and specialty titles like jazz and blues (which ship fewer units, therefore less 
marketplace availability) will be priced at $12-14 (although list prices may still be 
at 
$16, 17 or $18.98).

<rant>

It's funny that the myth of the CD business ailing is still carrying water.  I know 
the 
RIAA released numbers that sales were down for last year, but reports for Warner 
(and I believe Sony) both had sales up nearly 5% for the first quarter of this year.  
Also 
there was a report released by Jupiter that file sharing actually helps CD sales.  
(Wilco's "Yankee Hotel Foxtrot" has been available on the net for a year and  debuted 
on the chart at #13.) Funny too, that the year that Napster was shut down, the 
industry 
actually saw a drop in sales.  Now that the Napster alternatives are thriving, sales 
are 
up again.  I think the story that CD sales are suffering is a ploy to keep the 
industry's 
agenda front and center with ongoing proceedings in Washington and Sacramento. 

My prediction is that ultimately the profit for popular recorded music will be driven 
to 
zero and that the price will be "feels free."  Although music will still be sold on 
CD's 
(particularly and profitably by the indie craftsmen, like Kate and others on this list 
who 
are their own cottage industry; God bless 'em!), popular music (that's sold in the 
millions) will be delivered as a part of a service (like cable) and won't be a per 
unit 
transaction.  There are those who lament that if labels can't make money off of CD's 
then music won't get produced.  It will, but the funders will be different.  

They will be the companies that make money in a related way - computer 
hardware/software manufacturers, electronics companies, disk drive and disk 
manufacturers.  They'll take a similar view of CD's that Walmart and Best Buy does - 
loss leader to get people in stores or buy gear.  More artists are also publicly 
acknowledging that they take the same view as well - CD's are there to help them sell 
tickets or earn publishing income.  Elvis Costello and Pink (how's that for two ends 
of 
the spectrum!) have made similar comments in the last few weeks.

Please understand, I don't think the value of music is decreasing; but the value of 
those shiny, supposedly indestructible disks certainly is.

</rant>

BTW - I know it's been mentioned once here, but if you listen to internet radio, 
please 
visit http://www.saveinternetradio.org/ and if you're in the U.S. and feel so moved, 
send 
a letter to your rep.

Brenda

n.p.: Melanie Doane - "I Can't Take My Eyes Off You"

------------------------------
Coincidence is God's way of remaining anonymous.

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