Interesting that the Bush administration is going after control of the
oil.

Not about terrorism or anything else.  the oilmen are going after the
oil.

Note the quote: "Getting control of that oil," and thereby gaining sway
with neighboring Saudi Arabia's oil production, "will make a vast
difference (to the economy) in all sorts of things, but particularly the
price of oil."

This from a Reagan-Bush man briefed by this administration.



http://www.mlive.com/news/grpress/index.ssf?/xml/story.ssf/html_standard.xsl?/base/news-4/1034417706248870.xml



Seidman 'bullish' on war


Saturday, October 12, 2002
By Joe Snapper
The Grand Rapids Press



Hours after Congress authorized President Bush to use force in Iraq, an
economic adviser under four U.S. presidents told Grand Rapids business
leaders Friday that going to war "is probably the most bullish thing I
can think of."

Former FDIC chairman Bill Seidman, who served during the Nixon, Ford,
Reagan and the senior Bush administrations, said defeating Saddam
Hussein and controlling Iraqi oil is "at least as important as
eliminating weapons of mass destruction."

Seidman, a chief commentator for CNBC, said the prevailing view that a
war would prolong and even deepen a bear market is the "most misleading
to the market today."

"Oil prices fluctuating is a very large drag on the economy -- ours and
the world's," said Seidman, 81. "If we are in Iraq, nobody can use oil
as a weapon."

Speaking to a crowd of 35 at the Peninsular Club, Seidman had just
arrived from a State Department briefing in which the Bush
administration outlined for the first time a post-Saddam power structure
in Iraq.

"I think probably the most bullish thing I can think of today is winning
the war. We are planning to set up a MacArthur-like" government, said
Seidman, referring to U.S. General Douglas MacArthur's temporary rule
over Japan after its surrender in World War II.

"Getting control of that oil," and thereby gaining sway with neighboring
Saudi Arabia's oil production, "will make a vast difference (to the
economy) in all sorts of things, but particularly the price of oil."

"Having the two major oil producers not part of any radical Muslim or
any other unfriendly government," he said after the speech, would be "a
huge additional factor in the world's economy."

Seidman said he was befuddled by popular warnings of a further economic
slide in the event of war with Iraq.

But he's not surprised the Bush administration isn't the one heralding a
return to profitability by way of war.

"I deny it, specifically, on behalf of the government," Seidman said,
joking.

Many who heard his comments said they weren't surprised.

Bob Rector, a retired orthodontist from Muskegon, however, is wary of
war.

"We have young families. We think about that," he said.

Louis Canfield, a research analyst in Grand Rapids, said the early days
of an attack may be decisive for the economy.

"Over the short run, you have the potential to have some instability,"
said Canfield, 24. "Now, how long that instability lasts depends on
execution. During the first two weeks, if things look good for us on the
ground, I think things will be just fine."

In Seidman's speech -- sponsored by Grand Rapids-based RWB Capital
Management, where he is a consultant -- the outspoken East Grand Rapids
native also touched on corporate scandal, the accounting profession and
investing.

He labeled Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan "politically a devout
coward" for pulling back from comments that might have exposed the stock
market bubble sooner.

But he blamed CPAs --"my own profession" -- for letting Enron and others
go unchallenged for so long.

Seidman, who lives in Florida, from 1989 to 1991 headed up the
Resolution Trust Company, the federal entity that mopped up the savings
and loan scandal of the 1980s.

He oversaw the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation from 1985 to 1991.

He has also been an executive in a Fortune 500 company; publishes Bank
Director magazine; helped elevate what is now BDO Seidman to its
national status; and is a director of Fiserv and U.S. Order, Inc.

Seidman said he plans to stop at his New Mexico ranch before traveling
to Japan next week.

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