---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Finance Forward <[email protected]>
Date: Mon, Nov 9, 2015 at 10:47 AM
Subject: Islamic finance to be instrumental in supporting Morocco's future
growth goals
To: Samer <[email protected]>


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9th November 2015


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on the financial world and the political economy of the MENASA region]
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*FAST FINANCE
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Strong employment gains in the US during October and testimony given by
Janet Yellen in front of Congress this week are raising expectations that
the Federal Reserve will raise rates at its December meeting. The rise in
US rates, if it occurs as expected, could boost efforts by the European
Central Bank to stimulate the Eurozone economy by lowering the Euro
relative to the dollar. The efforts to stimulate the economy in the
Eurozone would have a positive spillover in North Africa including for
Morocco which is targeting automotive exports to Europe as well as being a
financial hub for West Africa (see below).
*Debut sukuk from IDB-linked Islamic Corporation for the Development of the
Private Sector planned by year-end, could reach $200-300m
<http://megaevents.us3.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=4bccbea900e54b305a9c6a37c&id=26f7052061&e=f901ca2b34>*

The Islamic Corporation for the Development of the Private Sector (ICD) is
expected to issue its debut sukuk by year-end to fund its geographical
diversification efforts which are focused on Sub-Saharan Africa as well as
Asia.  The size of the sukuk is not mentioned in the Fitch Ratings report
reaffirming the AA rating
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it has had for the ICD in 2014 that coincided with the ICD’s announcement
that it would seek $1.2 billion in financing from long-term debt
<http://megaevents.us3.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=4bccbea900e54b305a9c6a37c&id=b0022d70fe&e=f901ca2b34>
including sukuk.  Based on our analysis, *Finance Forward* expects that any
issuance by the end of 2015 will likely be in the range of $200 to $300
million.

The sukuk structure expected by year-end is a wakala sukuk which requires a
mix of ‘tangible’ assets (either equity-based structures, leasing, or
sukuk) and ‘intangible’ assets (financial receivables) with a minimum
tangible assets of between 30% and 51% depending on the Shariah
preference.  Even using the most conservative assumptions of a 51% tangible
asset level plus assuming that only 50% of the ICD’s equity interests would
be eligible to be included give sufficient assets for more than benchmark
sized.

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*Islamic finance to be instrumental in supporting Morocco's future growth
goals
<http://megaevents.us3.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=4bccbea900e54b305a9c6a37c&id=7578270439&e=f901ca2b34>*

Morocco’s first Islamic finance subsidiary, Dar Assafaa which is wholly
owned by Attijariwafa Bank, started operations in October
<http://megaevents.us3.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=4bccbea900e54b305a9c6a37c&id=95210ff1e4&e=f901ca2b34>.
Prior to the Islamic banking law passed earlier this year, a handful of
conventional banks and other financial institutions in the country launched
ijara, musharaka and murabaha Islamic banking products. However, through
2011, the sector was worth little more than Dh1bn ($100 million). There
were several reasons behind this failed attempt- lack of a supportive
regulatory framework due to shortage of expertise, double taxation issue
along with restrictions on marketing- all leading to a non-existent
participative banking sector.

Since 2011, there has been a series of challenges that have hindered the
development which included the European debt crisis which decreased imports
and economic activity in countries like Morocco.  However a change in the
political leadership in 2012, led by the moderate Islamist Justice and
Development Party, pushed forward measures including those making changes
in the banking and finance regulations that could accommodate and promote
the Islamic banking sector in Morocco. In January 2012, the Moroccan
government drafted a bill regulating *shariah-*compliant banking products
and allowing foreign Islamic banks to operate in the country’s banking
sector.

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*Featured Research*

*Thomson Reuters Sukuk Perceptions & Forecast 2015*

The latest sukuk report will be unveiled at #WIBC2015.  Last year’s report
found Morocco as the most attractive for sukuk investment outside of
developed markets like the UK, Australia, France and Luxembourg.

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