Priya Nadkarni & Palak Shah in Mumbai
In November 2007 - a month after the market regulator restricted the use of 
participatory notes (P-notes) - the share of the Singapore Nifty as a 
percentage of the total Nifty futures open interest was 8 per cent, according 
to a study done by Edelweiss Securities.

Less than a year later, the share has surged to nearly 40 per cent of the total 
outstanding Nifty OI. OI refers to derivative contracts that have not been 
squared off, leading Finance Minister P Chidambaram to comment last week that 
the need is to "encourage more inflows and not to export our markets to 
Singapore."

The minister's comments came after the Securities and Exchange Board of India 
decided to lift the ban on P-notes, which are offshore derivative instruments 
that are issued by foreign institutional investors to foreign individuals who 
do not want to participate in the Indian securities market.

The National Stock Exchange had entered into an agreement with the Singapore 
Exchange to introduce trading in the Nifty index futures on the Singapore 
bourse in 2000.

Will be the lifting of the ban help? Analysts say that the relaxation of the 
P-note policy is a case of "too little, too late". "It is a lot easier to trade 
in Singapore simply because the costs associated with trading there are lower. 
Moreover, what is the guarantee that the ban on P-note will not be brought 
back, once markets begin to boom again?" said a trader, who takes positions on 
the Nifty in Singapore.

Transaction costs in the Indian markets also continue to be on the higher side. 
In Singapore, the transaction costs are only 2-3 basis points in the absence of 
a securities transaction tax. The Singapore bourse has also been taking steps 
to decrease the cost. Earlier, the SGX Nifty's lot size was around $10 and they 
decreased it to $2 in November 2007.

Further, the SGX Nifty is traded from 9 am to 6 pm (IST), while the domestic 
markets open at 9.55 am and close at 3.30 pm. As a result, the SGX Nifty has 
gained currency among traders who keenly watch the index before the actual 
underlying, the Nifty opens for trading in India.

"Somebody who has already started trading Nifty futures on SGX would prefer to 
do that rather than buying the Nifty index in India through the P-note route 
because it is simpler to take positions there," said Ambareesh Baliga, 
vice-president-private client group at Karvy Stock broking.

Stockbrokers say that hedge funds do not want to take position in domestic 
markets because they will have to incur currency risk. The SGX Nifty futures 
contracts are dollar settled as it is a futures on Defty, not Nifty. So, the 
only thing domestic investors should do is to have their funds parked overseas, 
which top market operators have already managed.

Further, most hedge funds do not want to bring their money to India as 
Singapore is a tax haven for foreign funds. Some of the top market operators 
from India, who have already parked their funds overseas, prefer to take 
position in Singapore in order to avoid disclosing their incomes. The low rate 
of personal and corporate income tax, which is only 20 percent in Singapore, is 
a further sweetener for unregulated entities to trade in Nifty in Singapore.

One way of stopping the gradual shift in trading volumes to Singapore is to 
allowing foreign investors to trade in the currency derivatives segment in 
India, says Yogesh Radke, analyst with Edelweiss Capital. This is because FIIs 
would be able to hedge their currency exposure in India itself. A sharp 
movement in the rupee has also forced them to trade in Singapore rather than 
India.

If the NSE can offer access to hedge currency risk as well as trade in the 
futures and options segment, volumes will come back, they say. Interestingly, 
even the Bombay Stock Exchange is mulling listing Sensex futures on SGX in a 
move to revive the lacklustre derivatives trading on the BSE.

http://www.rediff.com/money/2008/oct/14singa.htm


A creaking door hangs long on its hinges






 
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