Stocks to extend gains on hopes of a global recovery

Stocks are expected to extend their gains for the second day in a row
as hopes of a global recovery and measures by SEBI and RBI are likely
to boost the sentiment on Dalal Street.The Sensex is likely to cross
the 10,500.00 level with ease as we might see a 3 to 4 percent gain in
the indices on both the exchanges.

U.S. stocks rallied sharply into Monday's close, pushing the Dow Jones
Industrial Average above 9,000 after signs emerged that the credit
markets are thawing and Ben Bernanke said he backs another fiscal
stimulus. The Dow gained nearly 4.67 percent to end the day at
9,265.43 and the Nasdaq gained 3.43 percent to close at 1770.00
levels.

Japan stocks rose a third day on expectations the U.S. will introduce
additional economic stimulus measures, boosting demand for Japanese-
made products. Nikkei gained more than 3 percent in early trade.

Crude oil rose for a third day on signs that the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries will reduce production to halt a 50
percent drop in prices since July. Crude oil for November delivery
rose $2.40 to settle at $74.25 a barrel.

So its results time on Dalal Street and most of the Q2 numbers came in
below expectations.Idea Cellular, HT Media and Petronet LNG reported a
decline in profits QOQ where as Canara Bank and United Phosphorus came
out with impressive set of numbers. Even though the numbers are not up
to the mark, considering the fall in stock prices we see an attractive
bargain in most of the stocks.

Almost all the cement makers except Shree Cement, have reported a 20
to 50 percent decline in profits due to high input costs and lower
margins due to price controls. The industry currently faces the
problem of over capacity and slowing demand making cement companies
more vulnerable in the short to medium term. Patient and long term
investors should look to accumulate stocks like Managalam Cement, JK
Cement and India Cements in the medium term.

Large caps are likely to continue their dominance over the midcaps as
investors are more likely to buy risk averse blue chips rather than
midcaps with high beta. Stocks like Core Projects that were
slaughtered due to margin calls are likely to recover in today's
trade. For a change, we expect Realty companies to make the top
gainers list today.

Market Close Box:
BSE Sensex 10223.09 247.74
NSE Nifty 3122.80 48.45
USD Rs.48.83
Oil Nymex $74.80

B.Karthick
Research Analyst.
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