Geneva: Up to 51 million jobs worldwide could disappear by the end of this year 
as a result of the economic slowdown that has turned into a global employment 
crisis, a United Nations agency said on Wednesday. The International Labour 
Organisation (ILO) said that under its most optimistic scenario, this year 
would finish with 18 million more unemployed people than at the end of 2007, 
with a global unemployment rate of 6.1%. 

More realistically, it said 30 million more people could lose their jobs if 
financial turmoil persists through 2009, pushing up the world's unemployment to 
6.5%, compared to 6.0% in 2008 and 5.7% in 2007. In the worst-case economic 
scenario, the Global Employment Trends report said 51 million more jobs could 
be lost by the end of this year, creating a 7.1% global unemployment rate. 

"If the recession deepens in 2009, as many forecasters expect, the global jobs 
crisis will worsen sharply," it said. "We can expect that for many of those who 
manage to keep a job, earnings and other conditions of employment will 
deteriorate." ILO's previous employment estimate, released in October, was that 
20 million jobs would disappear by the end of 2009 as a result of the financial 
crisis. 

Developing countries will suffer most from additional job losses, according to 
ILO, whose governing structure includes governments, employers and workers 
groups. "Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia stand out as regions with extremely 
harsh labour market conditions and with the highest shares of working poor of 
all regions," the report said. 

According to ILO estimates, North Africa and the Middle East had the highest 
unemployment rate at the end of 2008, at 10.3% and 9.4%, respectively. Central 
and southeastern Europe and the former Soviet states ended last year with a 
jobless rate of 8.8%, sub-Saharan Africa's was 7.9% and Latin America's was 
7.3%. East Asia fared best of the world's regions at 3.8%. 

Most job creation in 2008 came from South Asia, Southeast Asia, and East Asia, 
while developed economies and the European Union lost some 900,000 jobs on a 
net basis. The ILO said that government works projects, like those recently 
announced in Argentina, could help create and sustain jobs until the private 
sector starts to rebound. 

"While major capital-intensive new infrastructure projects take time to 
translate into increased employment, labour-based approaches can generate jobs 
and much-needed infrastructure quite quickly," it said, also noting the World 
Bank has launched an infrastructure crisis facility to support this work. 

-Reuters 

http://www.financialexpress.com/news/ilo-51-m-global-jobs-may-be-lost-this-year-south-asia-outlook-grim/416380/

ekamber


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