India's most commonly watched barometer for inflation is expected to fall
to zero per cent by end March 2009 following a cut in factory gate   duties,
aviation turbine fuel prices and a base effect, Axis
Bank<http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/4244531.cms#>said
in a note.

Wholesale price index was running at 3.03 per cent in the 12months to Feb.
21, below the previous week's annual rise of 3.36 per cent. It peaked around
13 per cent in August.

A revival in demand is unlikely to be so strong that there is a reversal in
trends and WPI inflation is likely to be in the negative zone even in April,
Axis Bank analysts wrote in a note.

Last week, the central
bank<http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/4244531.cms#>cut
its policy rates by 50 basis points to their lowest since they were
introduced in 2000.

But consumer price inflation, which is more representative of a household
consumption basket, continues to be high, but that should also start easing
on the back of cuts in state-set fuel prices and service tax cuts, Axis Bank
said.

Latest data showed the monthly wholesale price index (WPI) inflation for
January 2009 was at 5.2 per cent, sharply lower than the CPI inflation of
10.5 per cent.

B.Karthick
Research Analyst
WWW.KENCES1.BLOGSPOT.COM <http://www.kences1.blogspot.com/>

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