Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week (28.05.2012 - 01.06.2012)

Telecom stocks next week will take cues from the outcome of the second
round of the Telecom Commission meet on Saturday, which will take a
final view on the revised recommendations of the Telecom Regulatory
Authority of India.

The Telecom Commission, which met on Thursday, deliberated part of the
recommendations by the regulator on spectrum auction norms. The
commission in its meeting decided that minimum of 10 Mhz of spectrum
should be made available for auction, against 5 Mhz recommended by
TRAI. The commission also favoured the liberalisation of spectrum.

The commission is expected to give its final view on the contentious
issue of spectrum pricing on Saturday.

TRAI has suggested a reserve price of 36.22 bln rupees per 1 Mhz of
spectrum in the 1800 MHz band at a pan-India level, which has been
termed as exorbitantly "high" by telecom service providers.

Shares of Bharti Airtel are seen trading with a positive bias next
week as investors took long positions in its futures contracts, a
derivatives analyst said. The stock had gained 6% in the last two
trading days this week after the company announced that it has
acquired 49% stake in Qualcomm's AP's India entities.

Bharti Airtel has made an initial investment of approximately $165 mln
to acquire 49% interest in Qualcomm AP's India entities that hold
broadband wireless licences in Delhi, Mumbai, Haryana, and Kerala.

However, the trend in the stock is currently volatile and a definite
upward movement is unlikely to emerge until the stock crosses 310-312
rupees in the near term, a technical said.

Fresh long positions were also seen in the futures contracts of
Reliance Communications. In the near term, support for the stock is
seen at 63-64 rupees and resistance at 68-70 rupees, the technical
analyst said.

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd, which also had build-up of long
positions in its futures contract is seen gaining more next week. The
stock gained around 4.3% today and 1.75 mln shares were traded in
comparison with its one-month average volume of 0.99 mln shares.
Resistance for the stock is seen at 28 rupees and support at 21
rupees.

The broad market next week is expected to be volatile on account of
the expiry of the May futures and options contracts series Thursday.

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