IT Sector Report for the week (16-20.07.2012)

Stocks of major information technology companies may be confined to a
narrow band next week but Apr-Jun earnings of some companies could cause
sharp movement in their stocks Among the gainers will be stocks of Tata
Consultancy Services, which reported better-than-expected quarterly
earnings Thursday and dethroned Infosys as the sector bellwether. TCS
management's bullish outlook on performance in the coming quarters will
keep investors interested in the stock.

We continue to believe that TCS is the best company to own in the India IT
services space in the near term to protect downside in a difficult and
uncertain Indian market. Infosys's dismal quarterly numbers and pessimistic
revenue growth guidance for 2012-13 (Apr-Mar) will ensure the stock remains
weak in the coming sessions. Infosys shares fell 8.8% this week.

The company Thursday revised downward its revenue growth guidance for this
financial year citing global macroeconomic headwinds, foreign exchange
volatility, and pricing decline in Apr-Jun as reasons. Now, Infosys has
projected a lukewarm revenue growth of 5% for this financial year, way
below the 11-14% estimated by NASSCOM for the Indian information technology
industry.

Infosys 1QFY13 (Apr-Jun) performance was disappointing on all
counts--revenue, margin and net profit. Revised FY13 guidance is far from
encouraging. The fact that it has discontinued quarterly guidance is
another indicator that the business environment is changing for the worse.
We believe any arguments stating low expectations for buying the stock are
flawed, particularly when the company is unable to meet even watered-down
expectations.


 By RUPEE DESK  [email protected]

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