Metal Stocks Outlook for the week - 09.12.2013 - 13.12.2013

www.rupeedesk.in

Stocks of metal companies will react to results of the state elections to 
be announced on Sunday, which will have the largest impact on 
infrastructure-related companies. A landslide win by the Bharatiya Janata 
Party is seen having a positive impact on the market, pulling up metal 
stocks along with it. Companies like Steel Authority of India, which 
JPMorgan highlighted in its latest report has "the biggest beta to domestic 
demand", will gain the most in this case as most of its steel products are 
consumed by the domestic market. Another factor that may affect non-ferrous 
stocks next week is the US Non-farm payroll data for November, which 
released yesterday. The data indicated an improvement in the US economy and 
thus a greater chance of early tapering of the programme. This affects 
non-ferrous stocks the most as it reduces the risk appetite of investors 
and thus the inflows into the metal sector. Steel is seen as a much lesser 
volatile commodity than aluminium, copper, lead, and nickel which are 
highly traded on international markets and more affected by the vagaries of 
international economic sentiment.

Bullish view on Tata Steel for next week and sees its important support 
level at 415 rupees. Outlook on the stock will remain positive as long as 
it sustains above this level. In the near-term, there is lack of clarity 
over production from the Mahan coal block for its Mahan smelter. Without 
captive coal block, the Mahan smelter is expected to face cost pressures, 
resulting in lower return ratios over FY2013-15. Positive on NMDC. NMDC has 
performed well operationally and will likely report +10% yoy volume growth 
in FY2014E. The company will report a strong 2HFY14E driven by improved 
pricing environment and higher volumes (55% of FY2014E).

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Thanks and Regards,

Rupeedesk Research Team
Equity-Commodity-Currency-Nifty Options
www.rupeedesk.in
Contact : 044-24333577 /91-9841986753/91-9094047040
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